Îïåðàöèîííûé ìàñøòàá Minor (òàéì ôðåéì Daily)
"Âåðõóøêà" ëåòà - âàðèàíòû ðàçâèòèÿ äâèæåíèÿ #USDX vs EUR/USD & GBP/USD & USD/JPY - Daily ñ 06 èþëÿ 2020 ã.
Ïðåäûäóùèé îáçîð â òàéìôðåéìå Daily äàííûõ èíñòðóìåíòîâ îò 20:30 2020-06-05 UTC+4
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US Dollar Index
Ñ 06 èþëÿ 2020 ãîäà äâèæåíèå èíäåêñà äîëëàðà #USDX áóäåò îïðåäåëÿòüñÿ îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (96.90 - 97.40 - 97.90) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute - äåòàëè îòðàáîòêè ýòèõ ãðàíèö ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
Ïðè ïðîáîå óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 96.90 íà íèæíåé ãðàíèöå ISL38.2 çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute, ñ ïîñëåäóþùèì ïðîáîåì êîíå÷íîé Shiff Line Minute (96.50), áóäåò âîçìîæíî îáíîâëåíèå ëîêàëüíîãî minimum 95.72 è äîñòèæåíèå èíäåêñîì äîëëàðà ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minute (95.20 - 94.80 - 94.40) è çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (94.40 - 93.20 - 92.00) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor.
Ïîñëåäîâàòåëüíûé ïðîáîé óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 97.20 íà âåðõíåé ãðàíèöå ISL61.8 çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute è íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL (98.10) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor ñäåëàåò àêòóàëüíûì ïðîäîëæåíèå âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ #USDX ê íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL Minute (99.55) è ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíîé ëèíèè UWL38.2 (100.56) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor.
Ðàçìåòêà âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ #USDX c 06 èþëÿ 2020 ã. ïîêàçàíà íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
![Êóðñ âàëþòû íà 03.07.2020 analysis]()
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Euro vs
US Dollar Åäèíàÿ åâðîïåéñêàÿ âàëþòà
EUR/USD ñ 06 èþëÿ 2020 ãîäà
ïðîäîëæèò ðàçâèòèå ñâîåãî äâèæåíèå â çàâèñèìîñòè îò îòðàáîòêè è íàïðàâëåíèÿ ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.1195 - 1.1250 - 1.1320) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute -
ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ âíóòðè êàíàëà 1/2ML Minute ïîêàçàíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
Ïðîáîé óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.1320 íà âåðõíåé ãðàíèöå êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute
îïðåäåëèò ðàçâèòèå âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ åäèíîé åâðîïåéñêîé âàëþòû ê öåëÿì:
- íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL (
1.1380) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute;
-
maximum`s 1.1422 - 1.1495.
Ïðè ïðîáîå óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 1.1195 íà ïåðåñå÷åíèè íèæíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minute ñî ñðåäèííîé ëèíèåé Median Line Minor (
1.1195)
ñäåëàåò âîçìîæíûì ðàçâèòèå íèñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ EUR/USD ê íèæíåé ãðàíèöå ISL38.2 (
1.1095) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor
ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé ïðîäîëæåíèÿ ýòîãî äâèæåíèÿ óæå â çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.1095 - 1.1000 - 1.0950) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Âàðèàíòû äâèæåíèÿ EUR/USD c 06 èþëÿ 2020 ã. ïîêàçàíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
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Great Britain Pound vs
US Dollar Ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòû Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà
GBP/USD/USD ñ 06 èþëÿ 2020 ãîäà
áóäåò îáóñëîâëåíî îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.2465 - íèæíÿÿ ãðàíèöà êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.2380 - âåðõíÿÿ ãðàíèöà ISL38.2 çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute
Ïðîáîé óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ
1.2465 -
ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòû Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà ñòàíåò ïðîèñòåêàòü âíóòðè êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.2465 - 1.2560 - 1.2635) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute
ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ öåëåé:
- êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UTL (
1.2690) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor;
-
ëîêàëüíûé maximum 1.2812;
- êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UTL Minute (
1.2910);
ñ âîçìîæíîñòüþ äîñòèæåíèÿ ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíîé ëèíèè UWL61.8 Minor (
1.3110) è
maximum 1.3199.
Ïðîáîé ISL38.2 Minute -
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.2380 -
îïðåäåëèò äàëüíåéøåå ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ GBP/USD óæå â çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.2380 - 1.2260 - 1.2160) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute
ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé îáíîâëåíèÿ ëîêàëüíîãî minimum 1.2073 è äîñòèæåíèÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.2025 - 1.1815 - 1.1595) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor.
Âàðèàíòû äâèæåíèÿ GBP/USD c 06 èþëÿ 2020 ã. ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
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US Dollar vs
Japanese Yen Ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòû "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà"
USD/JPY ñ 06 èþëÿ 2020 ã.
ñòàíåò îïðåäåëÿòüñÿ îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 107.80 - íèæíÿÿ ãðàíèöà êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minute
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 107.20 - âåðõíÿÿ ãðàíèöà ISL38.2 çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute
Ïðîáîé ISL38.2 Minute -
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.2380 -
îïðåäåëèò äàëüíåéøåå ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ USD/JPY â çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
107.20 - 106.50 - 105.90) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute
ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
105.70 - 104.40 - 103.10) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor.
Ïðîáîé óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ
1.2465 -
ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ "âàëþòû ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà" ñòàíåò ïðîèñòåêàòü âíóòðè êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
107.80 - 108.30 - 108.65) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute
ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ öåëåé:
- íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL Minute (
108.90);
- âåðõíÿÿ ãðàíèöà ISL61.8 (
109.55) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor;
-
ëîêàëüíûé maximum 109.86;
- êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UTL (
110.10) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute;
-
ëîêàëüíûé maximum 111.72.
Ðàçìåòêà âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ USD/JPY c 06 èþëÿ 2020 ã. ïîêàçàíà íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
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Îáçîð ñîñòàâëåí áåç ó÷åòà íîâîñòíîãî ôîíà, îòêðûòèÿ òîðãîâûõ ñåññèé îñíîâíûõ ôèíàíñîâûõ öåíòðîâ è íå ÿâëÿåòñÿ ðóêîâîäñòâîì ê äåéñòâèþ (âûñòàâëåíèÿ îðäåðîâ "sell" èëè "buy").
Ôîðìóëà ðàñ÷åòà èíäåêñà äîëëàðà:
USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.
ãäå ñòåïåííûå êîýôôèöèåíòû ñîîòâåòñòâóþò âåñàì âàëþò â êîðçèíå:
Åâðî — 57,6 %;
Èåíà — 13,6 %;
Ôóíò ñòåðëèíãîâ — 11,9 %;
Êàíàäñêèé äîëëàð — 9,1 %;
Øâåäñêàÿ êðîíà — 4,2 %;
Øâåéöàðñêèé ôðàíê — 3,6 %.
Ïåðâûé êîýôôèöèåíò â ôîðìóëå ïðèâîäèò çíà÷åíèå èíäåêñà ê 100 íà äàòó íà÷àëà îòñ÷¸òà – ìàðò 1973 ãîäà, êîãäà îñíîâíûå âàëþòû íà÷àëè ñâîáîäíî êîòèðîâàòüñÿ äðóã îòíîñèòåëüíî äðóãà. Áîëüøå àíàëèòèêè íà ñàéòå InstaForex.
ZUP è Âèëû Ýíäðþñà (òåðìèíû, ïîíÿòèÿ, ïàðàìåòðû).
Ìàòåðèàëû äëÿ èçó÷åíèÿ Àíàëèçà ZUP & APL`s.