Îïåðàöèîííûé ìàñøòàá Minute (òàéì ôðåéì h4)
Òðåòüÿ äåêàäà èþëÿ - ðîñò US Dollar? Âàðèàíòû ðàçâèòèÿ äâèæåíèÿ #USDX vs EUR/USD & GBP/USD & USD/JPY - h4 ñ 20 èþëÿ 2020 ã.
Ïðåäûäóùèé îáçîð #USDX vs EUR/USD & GBP/USD & USD/JPY íà 4-õ ÷àñîâûõ ãðàôèêàõ îò 18:02 2020-07-10 UTC+3
____________________
US Dollar Index
Ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ èíäåêñà äîëëàðà #USDX c 20 èþëÿ 2020 ã. áóäåò îáóñëîâëåíî îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (95.88 - 95.98 - 96.08) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette - äåòàëè äâèæåíèÿ âíóòðè äàííîãî êàíàëà ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
Ïðè ïðîáîå óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ[/I] 96.08 íà âåðõíåé ãðàíèöå êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette ñòàíåò àêòóàëüíûì ïðîäîëæåíèå ðàçâèòèÿ âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ #USDX ê ãðàíèöàì çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (96.40 - 96.60 - 96.75) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíîé ëèíèè UWL61.8 (97.00) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ïðè ïðîáîå óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 95.88 íà íèæíåé ãðàíèöå êàíàëà 1/2 Medan Line âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette, ñ ïîñëåäóþùèì îáíîâëåíèåì ëîêàëüíûõ minimum`s 95.77 - 95.72, ñòàíåò àêòóàëüíî äîñòèæåíèå èíäåêñîì äîëëàðà ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (95.40 - 95.00 - 94.00) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ðàçìåòêà âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ #USDX c 20 èþëÿ 2020 ã. ïîêàçàíà íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
![Êóðñ âàëþòû íà 17.07.2020 analysis]()
____________________
Euro vs
US Dollar Ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ åäèíîé åâðîïåéñêîé âàëþòû
EUR/USD ñ 20 èþëÿ 2020 ãîäà
òàêæå ñòàíåò îïðåäåëÿòüñÿ îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.1440 - 1.1423 - 1.1407) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette -
ïîäðîáíîñòè ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
 ñëó÷àå ïðîáîÿ óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 1.1407 íà íèæíåé ãðàíèöå êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette
åäèíàÿ åâðîïåéñêàÿ âàëþòà ïðîäîëæèò ñâîå äâèæåíèå ê ãðàíèöàì çîí ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííûõ ìàñøòàáîâ - Minuette (
1.1355 - 1.1330 - 1.1305) è Minute (
1.1345 - 1.1285 - 1.1220).
Ïðè ïðîáîå âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette -
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.1440 -
ñ ïîñëåäóþùèì îáíîâëåíèåì ëîêàëüíîãî maximum 1.1452 âîñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå EUR/USD ìîæåò èìåòü ïðîäîëæåíèå ê êîíòðîëüíîé ëèíèè UTL (
1.1500) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette è íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL (
1.1555) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Âàðèàíòû äâèæåíèÿ EUR/USD c 20 èþëÿ 2020 ã. ïîêàçàíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
____________________
Great Britain Pound vs
US Dollar Äâèæåíèå âàëþòû Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà
GBP/USD/USD ñ 20 èþëÿ 2020 ãîäà
ïðîäîëæèòñÿ â çàâèñèìîñòè îò îòðàáîòêè è íàïðàâëåíèÿ ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.2610 - 1.2575 - 1.2530) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette -
äåòàëè äâèæåíèÿ âíóòðè äàííîãî êàíàëà ïðåäñòàâëåíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäå). Ïðîáîé óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 1.2530 íà íèæíåé ãðàíèöå êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette
îïðåäåëèò âàðèàíò ðàçâèòèÿ íèñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ GBP/USD ê
ëîêàëüíîìó minimum 1.2479 è ãðàíèöàì çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.2405 - 1.2342 - 1.2280) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette.
Ïðîáîé óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ
1.2610 íà âåðõíåé ãðàíèöå êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette
ïîäòâåðäèò ïðîäîëæåíèå ðàçâèòèÿ äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòû Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà âíóòðè êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.2575 - 1.2655 - 1.2730) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute
ñ ó÷åòîì îòðàáîòêè ëîêàëüíîãî maximum 1.2669 è ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíîé ëèíèè UWL38.2 Minute (
1.2710).
Âàðèàíòû äâèæåíèÿ GBP/USD c 20 èþîÿ 2020 ã. ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
____________________
US Dollar vs
Japanese Yen È äâèæåíèå âàëþòû "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà"
USD/JPY ñ 20 èþëÿ 2020 ã.
áóäåò çàâèñåòü îò îòðàáîòêè è íàïðàâëåíèÿ ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
107.10 - 107.30 - 107.45) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette -
ðàçìåòêà äâèæåíèÿ âíóòðè äàííîãî êàíàëà ïîêàçàíà íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
Ïðè ïðîáîå óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 107.05 íà âåðõíåé ãðàíèöå êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette
âîñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå USD/JPY áóäåò íàïðàâëåíî ê ãðàíèöàì çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
108.00 - 108.30 - 108.60) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette.
Ïðè ïðîáîå óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 107.10 íà íèæíåé ãðàíèöå êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette
íèñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå âàëþòû "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà"
ìîæåò ïðîäîëæèòüñÿ ê öåëÿì:
- êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UTL Minute (
106.91);
-
ëîêàëüíûé minimum 106.66;
- êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ LTL Minuette (
106.55);
- ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UWL38.2 Minute (
106.25);
ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé îáíîâëåíèÿ minimum 106.08 è äîñòèæåíèÿ âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
105.85) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ðàçìåòêà âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ USD/JPY c 20 èþëÿ 2020 ã. ïîêàçàíà íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
____________________
Îáçîð ñîñòàâëåí áåç ó÷åòà íîâîñòíîãî ôîíà, îòêðûòèÿ òîðãîâûõ ñåññèé îñíîâíûõ ôèíàíñîâûõ öåíòðîâ è íå ÿâëÿåòñÿ ðóêîâîäñòâîì ê äåéñòâèþ (âûñòàâëåíèÿ îðäåðîâ "sell" èëè "buy").
Ôîðìóëà ðàñ÷åòà èíäåêñà äîëëàðà:
USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.
ãäå ñòåïåííûå êîýôôèöèåíòû ñîîòâåòñòâóþò âåñàì âàëþò â êîðçèíå:
Åâðî — 57,6 %;
Èåíà — 13,6 %;
Ôóíò ñòåðëèíãîâ — 11,9 %;
Êàíàäñêèé äîëëàð — 9,1 %;
Øâåäñêàÿ êðîíà — 4,2 %;
Øâåéöàðñêèé ôðàíê — 3,6 %.
Ïåðâûé êîýôôèöèåíò â ôîðìóëå ïðèâîäèò çíà÷åíèå èíäåêñà ê 100 íà äàòó íà÷àëà îòñ÷¸òà – ìàðò 1973 ãîäà, êîãäà îñíîâíûå âàëþòû íà÷àëè ñâîáîäíî êîòèðîâàòüñÿ äðóã îòíîñèòåëüíî äðóãà. Áîëüøå àíàëèòèêè íà ñàéòå InstaForex.
ZUP è Âèëû Ýíäðþñà (òåðìèíû, ïîíÿòèÿ, ïàðàìåòðû).
Ìàòåðèàëû äëÿ èçó÷åíèÿ Àíàëèçà ZUP & APL`s.