Îïåðàöèîííûé ìàñøòàá Minute (òàéì ôðåéì h4)
Ãäå îñòàíîâèì ðîñò îñíîâíûõ âàëþòíûõ èíñòðóìåíòîâ ïî îòíîøåíèþ ê äîëëàðó? Âàðèàíòû ðàçâèòèÿ äâèæåíèÿ #USDX vs EUR/USD & GBP/USD & USD/JPY - h4 ñ 23 èþëÿ 2020 ã.
Ïðåäûäóùèé îáçîð #USDX vs EUR/USD & GBP/USD & USD/JPY íà 4-÷àñîâûõ ãðàôèêàõ îò 17:54 2020-07-17 UTC+3
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US Dollar Index
Ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ èíäåêñà äîëëàðà #USDX c 23 èþëÿ 2020 ã. áóäåò îáóñëîâëåíî îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 95.00 íà íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 94.90 íà êîíòðîëüíîé ëèíèè LTL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette
Ïðè ïðîáîå óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ[/I]
95.00 íà íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute
ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ èíäåêñà äîëëàðà ìîæåò áûòü ïðîäîëæåíî ê ãðàíèöàì êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette (
95.17 - 95.27 - 95.37),
â ñëó÷àå ïðîáîÿ êîòîðûõ âîñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå #USDX ïðîäîëæèòñÿ ê çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
95.52 - 95.66 - 95.82) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette
ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ êîíå÷íîé ëèíèè FSL Minuette (
96.30).
Ïðè ïðîáîå óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 94.90 íà êîíòðîëüíîé ëèíèè LTL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette
íèñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå #USDX ìîæåò èìåòü ïðîäîëæåíèå ê ãðàíèöàì êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
94.35 - 94.00 - 93.65) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ðàçìåòêà âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ #USDX c 20 èþëÿ 2020 ã. ïîêàçàíà íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
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Euro vs
US Dollar Ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ åäèíîé åâðîïåéñêîé âàëþòû
EUR/USD ñ 23 èþëÿ 2020 ãîäà
òàêæå ñòàíåò îïðåäåëÿòüñÿ îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.1590 íà íèæíåé ãðàíèöå ISL38.2 çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.1565 íà íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute
 ñëó÷àå ïðîáîÿ óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 1.1565 íà íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute
íèñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå åäèíîé åâðîïåéñêîé âàëþòû áóäåò íàïðàâëåíî ê öåëÿì:
- íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL (
1.1490) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette;
-
êîíå÷íàÿ Shiff Line Minuette (
1.1390);
ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.1360 - 1.1300 - 1.1240) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ïðè ïðîáîå ISL38.2 Minuette -
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.1590 - ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ
EUR/USD ìîæåò ïðîäîëæèòüñÿ â çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.1590 - 1.1630 - 1.1670) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette è êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.1670 - 1.1705 - 1.1755) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Âàðèàíòû äâèæåíèÿ EUR/USD c 23 èþëÿ 2020 ã. ïîêàçàíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
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Great Britain Pound vs
US Dollar Äâèæåíèå âàëþòû Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà
GBP/USD/USD ñ 23 èþëÿ 2020 ãîäà
áóäåò îáóñëîâëåíî îòðàáîòêîé óðîâíåé ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.2665 - 1.2695 - 1.2720) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette -
ðàçìåòêà äâèæåíèÿ âíóòðè äàííîãî êàíàë ïîêàçàíà íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gof ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
Ïðîáîé óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 1.2665 íà íèæíåé ãðàíèöå êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette
ñäåëàåò àêòóàëüíûì ïðîäîëæåíèå äâèæåíèÿ GBP/USD â çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.2665 - 1.2630 - 1.2600) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette,
ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé, ïîñëå ïðîáîÿ ISL61.8 Minuette (
1.2600),
äîñòèæåíèÿ íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL (
1.2511) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute è
ëîêàëüíîãî minimum 1.2478.
Ïðîáîé óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ
1.2720 íà âåðõíåé ãðàíèöå êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette
íàïðàâèò äâèæåíèå âàëþòû Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà ê ñëåäóþùèì óðîâíÿì:
-
1.2760 - íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL Minuette;
-
1.2767 -
ëîêàëüíûé maximum;
-
1.2800 - êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UTL Minuette;
-
1.2812 -
maximum.
Âàðèàíòû äâèæåíèÿ GBP/USD c 23 èþëÿ 2020 ã. ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå). ____________________
US Dollar vs
Japanese Yen È äâèæåíèå âàëþòû "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà"
USD/JPY ñ 23 èþëÿ 2020 ã.
áóäåò çàâèñåòü îò îòðàáîòêè è íàïðàâëåíèÿ ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà :
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 107.30 íà íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 107.00 íà âåðõíåé ãðàíèöå êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette
Ïðè ïðîáîå óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 107.30 íà íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette
âîñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå USD/JPY áóäåò íàïðàâëåíî ê öåëÿì:
- êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UTL Minuette (
107.42);
-
ëîêàëüíûé maximum 107.54;
- ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UWL161.8 Minute (
107.70);
-
maximum 108.17.
Ïðè ïðîáîå óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 107.00 äâèæåíèå âàëþòû "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà" ïðîäîëæèòñÿ â ãðàíèöàõ êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
107.00 - 106.85 - 106.70) è çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
106.70 - 106.55 - 106.35) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette
ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ êîíå÷íîé ëèíèè FSL Minuette (
105.75) è âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
105.55) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ðàçìåòêà âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ USD/JPY c 23 èþëÿ 2020 ã. ïîêàçàíà íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
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Îáçîð ñîñòàâëåí áåç ó÷åòà íîâîñòíîãî ôîíà, îòêðûòèÿ òîðãîâûõ ñåññèé îñíîâíûõ ôèíàíñîâûõ öåíòðîâ è íå ÿâëÿåòñÿ ðóêîâîäñòâîì ê äåéñòâèþ (âûñòàâëåíèÿ îðäåðîâ "sell" èëè "buy").
Ôîðìóëà ðàñ÷åòà èíäåêñà äîëëàðà:
USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.
ãäå ñòåïåííûå êîýôôèöèåíòû ñîîòâåòñòâóþò âåñàì âàëþò â êîðçèíå:
Åâðî — 57,6 %;
Èåíà — 13,6 %;
Ôóíò ñòåðëèíãîâ — 11,9 %;
Êàíàäñêèé äîëëàð — 9,1 %;
Øâåäñêàÿ êðîíà — 4,2 %;
Øâåéöàðñêèé ôðàíê — 3,6 %.
Ïåðâûé êîýôôèöèåíò â ôîðìóëå ïðèâîäèò çíà÷åíèå èíäåêñà ê 100 íà äàòó íà÷àëà îòñ÷¸òà – ìàðò 1973 ãîäà, êîãäà îñíîâíûå âàëþòû íà÷àëè ñâîáîäíî êîòèðîâàòüñÿ äðóã îòíîñèòåëüíî äðóãà. Áîëüøå àíàëèòèêè íà ñàéòå InstaForex.
ZUP è Âèëû Ýíäðþñà (òåðìèíû, ïîíÿòèÿ, ïàðàìåòðû).
Ìàòåðèàëû äëÿ èçó÷åíèÿ Àíàëèçà ZUP & APL`s.