Äîïîëíåíèå ê ïðåäûäóùåìó îáçîðó íà îñíîâàíèè òåêóùåé ñèòóàöèè íà ðûíêå - âàðèàíòû äâèæåíèÿ òîðãîâûõ èíñòðóìåíòîâ #USDX, EUR/USD, GBP/USD è USD/JPY ñ 21 àâãóñòà 2019 ã.
Minute (òàéì ôðåéì h4)
Ïðåäûäóùèé îáçîð ïî #USDX, EUR/USD, GBP/USD îò 16.08.2019 ã. 20:30 UTC+3
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US dollar Index
Äâèæåíèå èíäåêñà äîëëàðà #USDX ñ 21 àâãóñòà 2019 ã. ñòàíåò çàâèñåòü îò îòðàáîòêè ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (98.83 - 98.60 - 98.40) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette (äåòàëè ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå).
Åñëè èíäåêñ äîëëàðà îñòàíåòñÿ íèæå íèæíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette (óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 98.40), òîãäà áóäåò àêòóàëüíî ðàçâèòèå íèñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ ê ãðàíèöàì êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (98.05 - 97.70 - 97.35) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
 ñëó÷àå æå ïðîáîÿ óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 98.83 íà âåðõíåé ãðàíèöå êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette ñ ïîñëåäóþùèì îáíîâëåíèåì maximum 98.93 âîñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå #USDX ìîæåò ïðîäîëæèòüñÿ ê öåëÿì - êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UTL (99.10) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute - çîíà ðàâíîâåñèÿ (99.55 - 99.82 - 100.10) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette .
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ #USDX ïðåäñòàâëåíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
![Êóðñ âàëþòû íà 20.08.2019 analysis]()
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Euro vs
US Dollar Äâèæåíèÿ åäèíîé åâðîïåéñêîé âàëþòû
EUR/USD ñ 21 àâãóñòà 2019 ã.
ïîëó÷èò ñâîå ðàçâèòèå â çàâèñèìîñòè îò íàïðàâëåíèÿ ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.1085 (íèæíÿÿ ãðàíèöà êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette);
- 1.1070 ()
.
Ïðîáîé
óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.1085 ñäåëàåò âîçìîæíûì ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ
åäèíîé åâðîïåéñêîé âàëþòû â ãðàíèöàõ êàíàëîâ 1/2 Median Line âèë îïåðàöèîííûõ ìàñøòàáîâ - Minuette (
1.1085 - 1.1115 - 1.1140) è Minute (
1.1135 - 1.1175 - 1.1215).
Ïðè ñîâìåñòíîì ïðîáîå íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL (
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.1070)âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette è ISL38.2 Minute äâèæåíèå
EUR/USD ïðîäîëæèòñÿ â çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.1060 - 1.1030 - 1.0995) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette.
Äåòàëè âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ EUR/USD ïîêàçàíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
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Great Britain Pound vs
US Dollar Ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòû Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà
GBP/USD ñ 21 àâãóñòà 2019 ã. áóäåò
îáóñëîâëåíî îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.2055 - 1.2075 - 1.2100) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette (
âàðèàíòû äâèæåíèÿ âíóòðè óêàçàííîãî êàíàëà ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå).
Ïðè ïðîáîå
óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.221 (âåðõíÿÿ ãðàíèöà êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette)
âîñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå âàëþòû Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà ìîæåò áûòü ïðîäîëæåíî ê öåëÿì - íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL (
1.2125) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute - êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ LTL Minuette (
1.2165) -
ëîêàëüíûé maximum 1.2175 - íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL (
1.2208) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
 ñëó÷àå ïðîáîÿ
óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 1.2055 íà íèæíåé ãðàíèöå êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette äâèæåíèå
GBP/USD áóäåò íàïðàâëåíî
ê ãðàíèöàì çîí ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííûõ ìàñøòàáîâ - Minuette (
1.2035 - 1.2000 - 1.1970) è Minute (
1.2020 - 1.1955 - 1.1895).
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ GBP/USD ìîæíî âèäåòü íà ãðàôèêå.
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US Dollar vs
Japanese Yen Âàëþòà "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà" ïðîäîëæàåò îñòàâàòüñÿ â â ãðàíèöàõ êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette (
106.25 - 105.85 - 105.40) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette (
äâèæåíèå âíóòðè ýòîãî êàíàëà ðàçìå÷åíî íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå), ñîîòâåòñòâåííî
íàïðàâëåíèå ïðîáîÿ óêàçàííûõ âûøå óðîâíåé è ñòàíåò îïðåäåëÿòü ïåðñïåêòèâû ðàçâèòèÿ äâèæåíèÿ USD/JPY ñ 21 àâãóñòà 2019 ã.
Ïðîáîé íèæíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette è ISL61.8 Minute (
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 105.40) ñäåëàåò âîçìîæíûì ïðîäîëæåíèå ðàçâèòèÿ
íèñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ USD/JPY ê íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL (
105.06) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ ëèíèè ðåàêöèè RL61.8 (
104.70) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ïðè âîçâðàòå
âàëþòû "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà" âûøå âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette (
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 106.25)
âîñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå ìîæåò áûòü ïðîäîëæåíî ê âåðõíåé ãðàíèöå ISL38.2 (
106.50) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute è ãðàíèöàì çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
106.70 - 107.20 - 107.65) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette.
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ USD/JPY ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
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Îáçîð ñîñòàâëåí áåç ó÷åòà íîâîñòíîãî ôîíà, îòêðûòèÿ òîðãîâûõ ñåññèé îñíîâíûõ ôèíàíñîâûõ öåíòðîâ è íå ÿâëÿåòñÿ ðóêîâîäñòâîì ê äåéñòâèþ (âûñòàâëåíèÿ îðäåðîâ "sell" èëè "buy").
Ôîðìóëà ðàñ÷åòà èíäåêñà äîëëàðà:
USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.
ãäå ñòåïåííûå êîýôôèöèåíòû ñîîòâåòñòâóþò âåñàì âàëþò â êîðçèíå:
Åâðî — 57,6 %;
Èåíà — 13,6 %;
Ôóíò ñòåðëèíãîâ — 11,9 %;
Êàíàäñêèé äîëëàð — 9,1 %;
Øâåäñêàÿ êðîíà — 4,2 %;
Øâåéöàðñêèé ôðàíê — 3,6 %.
Ïåðâûé êîýôôèöèåíò â ôîðìóëå ïðèâîäèò çíà÷åíèå èíäåêñà ê 100 íà äàòó íà÷àëà îòñ÷¸òà – ìàðò 1973 ãîäà, êîãäà îñíîâíûå âàëþòû íà÷àëè ñâîáîäíî êîòèðîâàòüñÿ äðóã îòíîñèòåëüíî äðóãà.
Ìàòåðèàëû äëÿ èçó÷åíèÿ Àíàëèçà ZUP & APL`s.