Âàøåìó âíèìàíèþ êîìïëåêñíûé àíàëèç äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòíûõ èíñòðóìåíòîâ #USDX, EUR/USD, GBP/USD è USD/JPY ñ 10 ñåíòÿáðÿ 2019 ã.
Minute (òàéì ôðåéì h4)
Ïðåäûäóùèé îáçîð ïî #USDX, EUR/USD, GBP/USD îò 05.09.2019 ã. 11:19 UTC+3
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US dollar Index
Ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ èíäåêñà äîëëàðà #USDX ñ 10 ñåíòÿáðÿ 2019 ã. ïðîäîëæèò îïðåäåëÿòüñÿ îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèöû çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (98.75 - 98.50 - 98.30) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette (ðàçìåòêà äâèæåíèÿ âíóòðè ýòîé çîíû ïðåäñòàâëåíà íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå).
Ïðîáîé íèæíåé ãðàíèöû ISL61.8 (óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 98.30) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette ñ ïîñëåäóþùèì ïðîáîåì óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 98.20 - âàðèàíò ðàçâèòèÿ äâèæåíèÿ èíäåêñà äîëëàðà â êàíàëå 1/2 Median Line (98.20 - 97.85 - 97.52) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ ëîêàëüíîãî minimum 97.21 .
Ïðîáîé óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 98.30 (âåðõíÿÿ ãðàíèöà ISL38.2 çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette) ñäåëàåò àêòóàëüíûì ïðîäîëæåíèå ðàçâèòèÿ âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ #USDX ê ãðàíèöàì êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette (99.10 - 99.25 - 99.40).
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ #USDX ïðåäñòàâëåíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
![Êóðñ âàëþòû íà 09.09.2019 analysis]()
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Euro vs
US Dollar Äâèæåíèå åäèíîé åâðîïåéñêîé âàëþòû
EUR/USD ñ 10 ñåíòÿáðÿ 2019 ã. áóäåò
îáóñëîâëåíî íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.1050 - 1.1025 - 1.1000) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette (
ïîäðîáíîñòè ýòîãî äâèæåíèÿ ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå).
Ïðîáîé
óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.1050 (âåðõíÿÿ ãðàíèöà êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette) - äâèæåíèå
åäèíîé åâðîïåéñêîé âàëþòû ïðîäîëæèòñÿ ê ãðàíèöàì çîí ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííûõ ìàñøòàáîâ - Minute (
1.1065 - 1.1110 - 1.1150) è Minuette (
1.1110 - 1.1160 - 1.1215).
 ñëó÷àå ïðîáîÿ íèæíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette (
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.1000)
íèñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå EUR/USD áóäåò íàïðàâëåíî ê öåëÿì - íà÷àëüíàÿ SSL (
1.0950) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette -
ëîêàëüíûé minimum 1.0926.
Äåòàëè âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ EUR/USD ïîêàçàíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
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Great Britain Pound vs
US Dollar Íàïðàâëåíèå ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.2365 (êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UTL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette);
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.2305 (íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette);
è
ñòàíåò îïðåäåëÿòü òåíäåíöèþ ðàçâèòèÿ äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòû Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà
GBP/USD ñ 10 ñåíòÿáðÿ 2019 ã.
Ïðîáîé êîíòðîëüíîé ëèíèè UTL (
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.2365) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette îïðåäåëèò ïðîäîëæåíèå ðàçâèòèÿ âîñõîäÿùåãî
GBP/USD ê êîíå÷íîé ëèíèè FSL (
1.2515) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute è ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíîé ëèíèè UWL38.2 Minute (
1.2625).
 ñëó÷àå ïîñëåäîâàòåëüíîãî ïðîáîÿ íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL (
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.2305) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette è ISL61.8 Minute (
1.2285) ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ
âàëþòû Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà áóäåò ïðîäîëæåíî â çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.2285 - 1.2210 - 1.2135) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute
ñ ó÷åòîì îòðàáîòêè ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette (
1.2225 - 1.2180 - 1.2135) ñ âîçìîæíîé ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.2110 - 1.2050 - 1.1990) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette.
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ GBP/USD ìîæíî âèäåòü íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
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US Dollar vs
Japanese Yen C 10 ñåíòÿáðÿ 2019 ã. äâèæåíèå âàëþòû "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà"
USD/JPY ñòàíåò îïðåäåëÿòüñÿ îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
107.55 - 107.00 106.35) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute (
âàðèàíòû îòðàáîòêè ïîêàçàíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå).
Ïðè ïðîáîå
óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 106.35 (íèæíÿÿ ãðàíèöà çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ ISL38.2 âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute) îïðåäåëèò ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ
âàëþòû "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà" â êàíàëå 1/2 Median Line Minute (
106.35 - 105.85 - 105.40) ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû ISL38.2 (
105.05) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette.
À åñëè ñîñòîèòñÿ ïðîáîé âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû ISL61.8 (
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 107.55) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute, òîãäà ñòàíåò âîçìîæíûì ïðîäîëæåíèå ðàçâèòèÿ âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ
USD/JPY ê
êîíå÷íîé Shiff Line Minute (
107.85),
maximum 109.33 è êîíå÷íîé ëèíèè FSL Minute (
109.40).
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ USD/JPY ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
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Îáçîð ñîñòàâëåí áåç ó÷åòà íîâîñòíîãî ôîíà, îòêðûòèÿ òîðãîâûõ ñåññèé îñíîâíûõ ôèíàíñîâûõ öåíòðîâ è íå ÿâëÿåòñÿ ðóêîâîäñòâîì ê äåéñòâèþ (âûñòàâëåíèÿ îðäåðîâ "sell" èëè "buy").
Ôîðìóëà ðàñ÷åòà èíäåêñà äîëëàðà:
USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.
ãäå ñòåïåííûå êîýôôèöèåíòû ñîîòâåòñòâóþò âåñàì âàëþò â êîðçèíå:
Åâðî — 57,6 %;
Èåíà — 13,6 %;
Ôóíò ñòåðëèíãîâ — 11,9 %;
Êàíàäñêèé äîëëàð — 9,1 %;
Øâåäñêàÿ êðîíà — 4,2 %;
Øâåéöàðñêèé ôðàíê — 3,6 %.
Ïåðâûé êîýôôèöèåíò â ôîðìóëå ïðèâîäèò çíà÷åíèå èíäåêñà ê 100 íà äàòó íà÷àëà îòñ÷¸òà – ìàðò 1973 ãîäà, êîãäà îñíîâíûå âàëþòû íà÷àëè ñâîáîäíî êîòèðîâàòüñÿ äðóã îòíîñèòåëüíî äðóãà.
Ìàòåðèàëû äëÿ èçó÷åíèÿ Àíàëèçà ZUP & APL`s.