Äîïîëíåíèå ê ïðåäûäóùåìó îáçîðó (ññûëêà íèæå) - êîìïëåêñíûé àíàëèç äâèæåíèÿ #USDX, EUR/USD, GBP/USD è USD/JPY ñ 11 ñåíòÿáðÿ 2019 ã.
Minute (òàéì ôðåéì h4)
Ïðåäûäóùèé îáçîð ïî #USDX, EUR/USD, GBP/USD îò 09.09.2019 ã. 19:39 UTC+3
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US dollar Index
Äâèæåíèå èíäåêñà äîëëàðà #USDX ñ 11 ñåíòÿáðÿ 2019 ã. ñòàíåò çàâèñåòü îò íàïðàâëåíèÿ ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 98.30 (íèæíÿÿ ãðàíèöà ISL61.8 çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette);
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 98.20 (âåðõíÿÿ ãðàíèöà êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minute).
#USDX âîçâðàùàåòñÿ
âûøå ISL61.8 Minuette (
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 98.30) - ðàçâèòèå áóäåò ñíîâà ïðîèñòåêàòü â çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
98.30 - 98.50 - 98.75) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette, à ïðè ïðîáîå ISL38.2 Minuette (
98.75)
âîñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå èíäåêñà äîëëàðà ìîæåò áûòü ïðîäîëæåíî ê ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíîé ëèíèè UWL38.2 (
98.85) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute è ãðàíèöàì êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette (
99.25 - 99.40 - 99.55).
Ñîâìåñòíûé ïðîáîé
óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 98.20 (âåðõíÿÿ ãðàíèöà êàíàëà 1/2ML Minute) è íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL (
98.15) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute îïðåäåëèò ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ
èíäåêñà äîëëàðà â êàíàëå 1/2 Median Line Minute (
98.20 - 97.85 - 97.55).
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ #USDX ïðåäñòàâëåíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
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Euro vs
US Dollar Åäèíàÿ åâðîïåéñêàÿ âàëþòà
EUR/USD ðàçâèâàåò äâèæåíèå â êàíàëå 1/2 Median Line (
1.1050 - 1.1020 - 1.0990) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette, ñîîòâåòñòâåííî, äàëüíåéøàÿ òåíäåíöèÿ äâèæåíèÿ
äàííîãî âàëþòíîãî èíñòðóìåíòà ñ 11 ñåíòÿáðÿ 2019 ã. áóäåò
îáóñëîâëåíà íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ óêàçàííûõ âûøå óðîâíåé (
ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ â êàíàëå 1/2ML Minuette ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå).
Ïðîáîé íèæíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.0990) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette ñäåëàåò àêòóàëüíûì ïðîäîëæåíèå ðàçâèòèÿ
íèñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ åäèíîé åâðîïåéñêîé âàëþòû ê íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL Minuette (
1.0955) è
ëîêàëüíîìó minimum 1.0926.
À åñëè ñëó÷èòñÿ
ïîñëåäîâàòåëüíûå ïðîáîé âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.1050) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette è ISL38.2 Minute (
1.1060), ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ
EUR/USD ïðîäîëæèòñÿ â ãðàíèöàõ çîí ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííûõ ìàñøòàáîâ - Minute (
1.1060 - 1.1105 - 1.1150) è Minuette (
1.1115 - 1.1170 - 1.1220).
Äåòàëè âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ EUR/USD ïîêàçàíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
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Great Britain Pound vs
US Dollar È ñíîâà ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòû Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà
GBP/USD, òåïåðü ñ 11 ñåíòÿáðÿ 2019 ã.,
áóäåò îáóñëîâëåíî íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.2395 (êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UTL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette);
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.2355 (íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette).
Ïðîáîé íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL (
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.2355) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette íàïðàâèò
íèñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå GBP/USD ê ãðàíèöàì çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.2280 - 1.2205 - 1.2130) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute, à òàêæå ê ãðàíèöàì êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.2250 - 1.2205 - 1.2155) è çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.2155 - 1.2085 - 1.2020) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette.
Ïðîáîé êîíòðîëüíîé ëèíèè UTL (
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.2395) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette îïðåäåëèò ðàçâèòèå
âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ GBP/USD ê êîíå÷íîé ëèíèè FSL (
1.2510) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíîé ëèíèè UWL38.2 Minute (
1.2610).
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ GBP/USD ìîæíî âèäåòü íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
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US Dollar vs
Japanese Yen C 11 ñåíòÿáðÿ 2019 ã. äâèæåíèå âàëþòû "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà"
USD/JPY ïðîäîëæèò çàâèñåòü îò îòðàáîòêè è íàïðàâëåíèÿ ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
107.53 - 106.95 - 106.40) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute (
âàðèàíòû îòðàáîòêè ïîêàçàíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå).
Ïðîáîé
óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 106.40 (íèæíÿÿ ãðàíèöà çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ ISL38.2 âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute) íàïðàâèò äâèæåíèå
âàëþòû "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà" ê ãðàíèöàì êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minute (
106.25 - 105.80 - 105.35) ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ
ñðåäèííîé ëèíèè Median Line (
105.10) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette.
Ïðè
îáíîâëåíèè ëîêàëüíîãî maximum (
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 107.53 -
âåðõíÿÿ ãðàíèöà çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ ISL61.8 âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute) áóäåò èìåòü ìåñòî áûòü ïðîäîëæåíèå
âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ USD/JPY ê öåëÿì -
êîíå÷íàÿ Shiff Line Minute (
107.80) - ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíûå ëèíèè UWL38.2 (
108.25) è UWL61.8 (
108.70) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette.
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ USD/JPY ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
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Îáçîð ñîñòàâëåí áåç ó÷åòà íîâîñòíîãî ôîíà, îòêðûòèÿ òîðãîâûõ ñåññèé îñíîâíûõ ôèíàíñîâûõ öåíòðîâ è íå ÿâëÿåòñÿ ðóêîâîäñòâîì ê äåéñòâèþ (âûñòàâëåíèÿ îðäåðîâ "sell" èëè "buy").
Ôîðìóëà ðàñ÷åòà èíäåêñà äîëëàðà:
USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.
ãäå ñòåïåííûå êîýôôèöèåíòû ñîîòâåòñòâóþò âåñàì âàëþò â êîðçèíå:
Åâðî — 57,6 %;
Èåíà — 13,6 %;
Ôóíò ñòåðëèíãîâ — 11,9 %;
Êàíàäñêèé äîëëàð — 9,1 %;
Øâåäñêàÿ êðîíà — 4,2 %;
Øâåéöàðñêèé ôðàíê — 3,6 %.
Ïåðâûé êîýôôèöèåíò â ôîðìóëå ïðèâîäèò çíà÷åíèå èíäåêñà ê 100 íà äàòó íà÷àëà îòñ÷¸òà – ìàðò 1973 ãîäà, êîãäà îñíîâíûå âàëþòû íà÷àëè ñâîáîäíî êîòèðîâàòüñÿ äðóã îòíîñèòåëüíî äðóãà.
Ìàòåðèàëû äëÿ èçó÷åíèÿ Àíàëèçà ZUP & APL`s.