Ðàññìîòðèì êîìïëåêñíî êàê ñòàíåò ïðîèñòåêàòü ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòíûõ èíñòðóìåíòîâ #USDX, EUR/USD, GBP/USD è USD/JPY c 24 ñåíòÿáðÿ 2019 ã.
Minute (òàéì ôðåéì h4)
Äîïîëíåíèå ê ïðåäûäóùåìó îáçîðó ïî #USDX, EUR/USD, GBP/USD è USD/JPY îò 19.09.2019 ã. 17:06 UTC+3
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US dollar Index
Ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ èíäåêñà äîëëàðà #USDX ñ 24 ñåíòÿáðÿ 2019 ã. áóäåò îáóñëîâëåíî îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (98.95 - 98.75 - 98.53) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute (ðàçìåòêà äâèæåíèÿ âíóòðè äàííîãî êàíàëà ïîêàçàíà íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå).
Ïðè ïðîáîå âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 98.95) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute áóäåò âîçìîæíî ïðîäîëæåíèå ðàçâèòèÿ âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ èíäåêñà äîëëàðà ê öåëÿì - ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UWL38.2 Minute (99.30) - maximum 99.37 - êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UTL Minute (99.65).
Ïðîáîé íèæíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minute (óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 98.53) íàïðàâèò ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ #USDX ê ãðàíèöàì êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette (98.35 - 98.23 - 98.10) ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ êîíå÷íîé Shiff Line (97.85) è âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû ISL38.2 (97.50) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ #USDX ïðåäñòàâëåíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
![Êóðñ âàëþòû íà 23.09.2019 analysis]()
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Euro vs
US Dollar Äâèæåíèå åäèíîé åâðîïåéñêîé âàëþòû
EUR/USD ñ 24 ñåíòÿáðÿ 2019 ã. òàêæå ñòàíåò îïðåäåëÿòüñÿ
îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.1010 - 1.0980 - 1.0955) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute (
äåòàëè ýòîãî äâèæåíèÿ ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå).
Ïðîáîé íèæíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.0955) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute îïðåäåëèò äàëüíåéøåå ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ
åäèíîé åâðîïåéñêîé âàëþòû â çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.0955 - 1.0927 - 1.0905) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíîé UWL61.8 (
1.0870) è êîíòðîëüíîé LTL (
1.0860) ëèíèé âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
 ñëó÷àå æå ïðîáîÿ âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.1010) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute ñòàíåò âîçìîæíî ðàçâèòèå âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ
EUR/USD ê ãðàíèöàì êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.1030 - 1.1050 - 1.1070) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ
êîíå÷íîé Shiff Line Minute (
1.1095) è îáíîâëåíèÿ ëîêàëüíîãî maximum
1.1110.
Äåòàëè âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ EUR/USD ïîêàçàíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
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Great Britain Pound vs
US Dollar Ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòû Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà
GBP/USD ñ 24 ñåíòÿáðÿ 2019 ã. ñòàíåò çàâèñåòü
îò îòðàáîòêè è íàïðàâëåíèÿ ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.2435 - 1.2390 - 1.2345) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette
ðàçìåòêà îòðàáîòêè ïðåäñòàâëåíà íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
Ïðè ïðîáîå íèæíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.2345) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette áóäåò àêòóàëüíî äîñòèæåíèå è îòðàáîòêà
GBP/USD ãðàíèö çîí ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííûõ ìàñøòàáîâ - Minuette (
1.2325 - 1.2245 - 1.2165) è Minute (
1.2305 - 1.2220 - 1.2135).
Ïðè âîçâðàòå
âàëþòû Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà âûøå óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.2435 (âåðõíÿÿ ãðàíèöà êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette) ñòàíåò âîçìîæíûì ðàçâèòèå
âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ äàííîãî
âàëþòíîãî èíñòðóìåíòà ê öåëÿì -
ëîêàëüíûé maximum 1.2582 - êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UTL (
1.2610) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette - ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UWL38.2 (
1.2700) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ GBP/USD ìîæíî âèäåòü íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
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US Dollar vs
Japanese Yen Ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòû "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà"
USD/JPY ñ 24 ñåíòÿáðÿ 2019 ã. (ñîáñòâåííî, êàê è ó óïîìÿíóòûõ âûøå âàëþòíûõ èíñòðóìåíòàõ )
áóäåò îáóñëîâëåíî îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
107.50 - 107.15 - 106.80) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette (
äåòàëè ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå).
Ïðîáîé íèæíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette (
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 106.80) ñäåëàåò âîçìîæíûì äîñòèæåíèå
âàëþòîé "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà" ãðàíèö çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
106.65 - 106.10 - 105.60) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette è êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minute (
105.80 - 105.35 - 104.85).
À ñîâìåñòíûé ïðîáîé âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 107.50) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette è âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû ISL38.2 (
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 107.60) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute îïðåäåëèò âàðèàíò ðàçâèòèÿ
âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ USD/JPY è öåëÿìè êîòîðîãî ñòàíóò - íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL Minuette (
108.40) -
ëîêàëüíûé maximum 108.50 - êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UTL Minuette (
108.70).
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ USD/JPY ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
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Îáçîð ñîñòàâëåí áåç ó÷åòà íîâîñòíîãî ôîíà, îòêðûòèÿ òîðãîâûõ ñåññèé îñíîâíûõ ôèíàíñîâûõ öåíòðîâ è íå ÿâëÿåòñÿ ðóêîâîäñòâîì ê äåéñòâèþ (âûñòàâëåíèÿ îðäåðîâ "sell" èëè "buy").
Ôîðìóëà ðàñ÷åòà èíäåêñà äîëëàðà:
USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.
ãäå ñòåïåííûå êîýôôèöèåíòû ñîîòâåòñòâóþò âåñàì âàëþò â êîðçèíå:
Åâðî — 57,6 %;
Èåíà — 13,6 %;
Ôóíò ñòåðëèíãîâ — 11,9 %;
Êàíàäñêèé äîëëàð — 9,1 %;
Øâåäñêàÿ êðîíà — 4,2 %;
Øâåéöàðñêèé ôðàíê — 3,6 %.
Ïåðâûé êîýôôèöèåíò â ôîðìóëå ïðèâîäèò çíà÷åíèå èíäåêñà ê 100 íà äàòó íà÷àëà îòñ÷¸òà – ìàðò 1973 ãîäà, êîãäà îñíîâíûå âàëþòû íà÷àëè ñâîáîäíî êîòèðîâàòüñÿ äðóã îòíîñèòåëüíî äðóãà.
Ìàòåðèàëû äëÿ èçó÷åíèÿ Àíàëèçà ZUP & APL`s.