Ïðîäîëæó ïðåïàðèðîâàòü âàðèàíòû ðàçâèòèÿ äâèæåíèÿ â êîìïëåêñíîì âèäå âàëþòíûõ èíñòðóìåíòîâ â h4 - #USDX, EUR/USD, GBP/USD è USD/JPY ñ 10 îêòÿáðÿ 2019 ã.
Minute (òàéì ôðåéì h4)
Äîïîëíåíèå ê ïðåäûäóùåìó îáçîðó ïî #USDX, EUR/USD, GBP/USD è USD/JPY îò 08.10.2019 ã. 09:02 UTC+3
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US dollar Index
Äâèæåíèå èíäåêñà äîëëàðà #USDX c 10 îêòÿáðÿ 2019 ã. ïðîäîëæèò îïðåäåëÿòüñÿ îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèÿ ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (98.77 - 98.95 - 99.15) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute (äåòàëè ïîêàçàíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå).
Ïðîáîé âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 99.15) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute íàïðàâèò äâèæåíèå èíäåêñà äîëëàðà ê ãðàíèöàì êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette (99.30 - 99.45 - 99.57) ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ íèæíåé ãðàíèöû ISL38.2 (99.70) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette.
Ïðè ïðîáîå íèæíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minute (óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 98.77) - âàðèàíò ðàçâèòèÿ íèñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ #USDX ê öåëÿì - ëîêàëüíûé minimum 98.63 - âåðõíÿÿ ãðàíèöà ISL38.2 (98.40) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ #USDX ïðåäñòàâëåíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
![Êóðñ âàëþòû íà 09.10.2019 analysis]()
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Euro vs
US Dollar Åäèíàÿ åâðîïåéñêàÿ âàëþòà ïðîäîëæàåò îñòàâàòüñÿ
âíóòðè êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.0940 - 1.0965 - 1.0990) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette,
íàïðàâëåíèå ïðîáîÿ êîòîðîãî è ñòàíåò îïðåäåëÿòü äàëüíåéøåå ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ EUR/USD ñ 10 îêòÿáðÿ 2019 ã. (
ðàçìåòêó äâèæåíèÿ âíóòðè êàíàëà 1/2ML ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå).
Ïðîáîé íèæíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.0940) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette - ðàçâèòèå
íèñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ åäèíîé åâðîïåéñêîé âàëþòû ìîæåò áûòü ïðîäîëæåíî ê öåëÿì - 1/2 Median Line Minute (
1.0925) - íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL Minuette (
1.0915) - íèæíÿÿ ãðàíèöà êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.0895) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ïðîáîé âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette (óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ
1.0990) ñäåëàåò àêòóàëüíûì ïðîäîëæåíèå ðàçâèòèÿ
âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ EUR/USD ê çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.1025 - 1.1060 - 1.1095) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette.
Äåòàëè âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ EUR/USD ïîêàçàíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
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Great Britain Pound vs
US Dollar Äâèæåíèå æå âàëþòû Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà
GBP/USD ñ 10 îêòÿáðÿ 2019 ã.
ñòàíåò îïðåäåëÿòüñÿ íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.2250 íà âåðõíåé ãðàíèöå êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute;
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.2200 íà ñðåäèííîé ëèíèè Median Line âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette.
Ïðîáîé
ñðåäèííîé ëèíèè Median Line Minuette (
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.2200) - ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ
âàëþòû Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà ê öåëÿì - 1/2 Median Line Minute (
1.2165) - íèæíÿÿ ãðàíèöà ISL61.8 (
1.2120) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette - íèæíÿÿ ãðàíèöà êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.2080) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ minimum
1.1958.
Ïðîáîé âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minute (
1.2250) ñäåëàåò àêòóàëüíûì ðàçâèòèå
âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ GBP/USD öåëÿìè êîòîðîãî ñòàíóò - âåðõíÿÿ ãðàíèöà ISL38.2 (
1.2280) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette -
êîíå÷íàÿ Shiff Line Minuette (
1.2370) - íèæíÿÿ ãðàíèöà ISL38.2 (
1.2405) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ GBP/USD ìîæíî âèäåòü íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
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US Dollar vs
Japanese Yen Òàê æå êàê è â ïðåäûäóùåì ñëó÷àå, äâèæåíèå âàëþòû "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà"
USD/JPY ñ 10 îêòÿáðÿ 2019 ã.
ñòàíåò îïðåäåëÿòüñÿ íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 107.70 íà âåðõíåé ãðàíèöå ISL38.2 çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette;
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 107.35 íà âåðõíåé ãðàíèöå êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette.
Ïðîáîé ISL38.2 Minuette (
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 107.70) - ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ
USD/JPY â çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
107.70 - 108.00 - 108.25) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ
maximum 108.50.
Ïðîáîé
óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 107.35 - äâèæåíèå
âàëþòû "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà" ïðîäîëæèòñÿ â êàíàëå 1/2 Median Line (
107.35 - 107.10 - 106.85) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ
óðîâíåé ïîääåðæêè -
106.77 (íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute) - ëîêàëüíûé minimum
106.49 - âåðõíÿÿ ãðàíèöà êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minute (
106.40).
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ USD/JPY ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
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Îáçîð ñîñòàâëåí áåç ó÷åòà íîâîñòíîãî ôîíà, îòêðûòèÿ òîðãîâûõ ñåññèé îñíîâíûõ ôèíàíñîâûõ öåíòðîâ è íå ÿâëÿåòñÿ ðóêîâîäñòâîì ê äåéñòâèþ (âûñòàâëåíèÿ îðäåðîâ "sell" èëè "buy").
Ôîðìóëà ðàñ÷åòà èíäåêñà äîëëàðà:
USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.
ãäå ñòåïåííûå êîýôôèöèåíòû ñîîòâåòñòâóþò âåñàì âàëþò â êîðçèíå:
Åâðî — 57,6 %;
Èåíà — 13,6 %;
Ôóíò ñòåðëèíãîâ — 11,9 %;
Êàíàäñêèé äîëëàð — 9,1 %;
Øâåäñêàÿ êðîíà — 4,2 %;
Øâåéöàðñêèé ôðàíê — 3,6 %.
Ïåðâûé êîýôôèöèåíò â ôîðìóëå ïðèâîäèò çíà÷åíèå èíäåêñà ê 100 íà äàòó íà÷àëà îòñ÷¸òà – ìàðò 1973 ãîäà, êîãäà îñíîâíûå âàëþòû íà÷àëè ñâîáîäíî êîòèðîâàòüñÿ äðóã îòíîñèòåëüíî äðóãà.
Ìàòåðèàëû äëÿ èçó÷åíèÿ Àíàëèçà ZUP & APL`s.