Ïîëåòû âî ñíå è íàÿâó - ÷òî äàëüøå ñòàíåò ñ ðàçâèòèåì äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòíûõ èíñòðóìåíòîâ â h4 - #USDX, EUR/USD, GBP/USD è USD/JPY ñ 15 îêòÿáðÿ 2019 ã.? - Êîìïëåêñíûé àíàëèç âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ.
Minute (òàéì ôðåéì h4)
Äîïîëíåíèå ê ïðåäûäóùåìó îáçîðó ïî #USDX, EUR/USD, GBP/USD è USD/JPY îò 09.10.2019 ã. 20:41 UTC+3
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US dollar Index
Äâèæåíèå èíäåêñà äîëëàðà #USDX c 15 îêòÿáðÿ 2019 ã. ïðîäîëæèò îïðåäåëÿòüñÿ îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèÿ ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (98.45 - 98.65 - 98.85) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette (äåòàëè ïîêàçàíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå).
Ïðîáîé âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû ISL38.2 (óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 98.85) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette îïðåäåëèò ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ èíäåêñà äîëëàðà â êàíàëå 1/2 Median Line (98.85 - 99.00 - 99.20) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette (99.35 - 99.52 - 99.67).
Ïðè ïðîáîå íèæíåé ãðàíèöû ISL61.8 (óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 98.45) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette - âàðèàíò ïðîäîëæåíèÿ íèñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ #USDX ê çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (98.30 - 98.00 - 97.65) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ #USDX ïðåäñòàâëåíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
![Êóðñ âàëþòû íà 14.10.2019 analysis]()
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Euro vs
US Dollar Åäèíàÿ åâðîïåéñêàÿ âàëþòà ïðîäîëæèò ðàçâèâàòü äâèæåíèå
âíóòðè êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line ([B1.1075 - 1.1035 - 1.0990[/B]) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute,
íàïðàâëåíèå ïðîáîÿ êîòîðîãî è ñòàíåò îïðåäåëÿòü äàëüíåéøåå ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ EUR/USD ñ 15 îêòÿáðÿ 2019 ã. (
ðàçìåòêó äâèæåíèÿ âíóòðè êàíàëà 1/2ML (ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå).
Ïðîáîé íèæíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.0990) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute - ðàçâèòèå
íèñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ åäèíîé åâðîïåéñêîé âàëþòû ìîæåò áûòü ïðîäîëæåíî ê öåëÿì - ê ãðàíèöàì êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.0980 - 1.0955 - 1.0930) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ
minimum 1.0879.
Ïðîáîé âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ
1.1075) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute ñäåëàåò àêòóàëüíûì ïðîäîëæåíèå ðàçâèòèÿ
âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ EUR/USD[COLOR="royalblue"] ê öåëÿì - âåðõíÿÿ ãðàíèöà ISL61.8 (
1.1110 -
ëîêàëüíûé maximum) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette - íèæíÿÿ ãðàíèöà ISL38.2 (
1.1175) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Äåòàëè âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ EUR/USD ïîêàçàíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
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Great Britain Pound vs
US Dollar Äâèæåíèå æå âàëþòû Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà
GBP/USD ñ 15 îêòÿáðÿ 2019 ã.
ñòàíåò çàâèñåòü îò îòðàáîòêè è íàïðàâëåíèÿ ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.2550 - 1.2620 - 1.2705) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette (
äåòàëè ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå).
Ïðîáîé íèæíåé ãðàíèöû ISL38.2 (
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.2550) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette äàëüíåéøåå ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ
GBP/USD ñòàíåò ïðîèñòåêàòü â êàíàëå 1/2 Median Line Minuette (
1.2550 - 1.2490 - 1.2430), à
ïðè ñîâìåñòíîì ïðîáîå íèæíåé ãðàíèöû (
1.2430)
ýòîãî êàíàëà è íèæíåé ãðàíèöû ISL38.2 (
1.2400) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute
íèñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå äàííîãî
âàëþòíîãî èíñòðóìåíòà áóäåò íàïðàâëåíî ê öåëÿì - íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL Minuette (
1.2310) - êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ LTL Minuette (
1.2245) ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minute (
1.2330 - 1.2140 - 1.2060).
Ïðîáîé âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû ISL61.8 (
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.2750) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette ñ ïîñëåäóþùèì ïðîáîåì
êîíå÷íîé Shiff Line Minuette (
1.2745) îïðåäåëÿò âàðèàíò ïðîäîëæåíèÿ
âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòû Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà ê êîíå÷íîé ëèíèè FSL Minuette (
1.2985).
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ GBP/USD ìîæíî âèäåòü íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
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US Dollar vs
Japanese Yen Òàê æå êàê è â ïðåäûäóùåì ñëó÷àå, äâèæåíèå âàëþòû "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà"
USD/JPY ñ 15 îêòÿáðÿ 2019 ã. ñòàíåò çàâèñåòü
îò îòðàáîòêè è íàïðàâëåíèÿ ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
108.00 - 108.25 - 108.50) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette (
ïîäðîáíîñòè ïîêàçàíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå).
Ïðîáîé âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû ISL61.8 (
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 108.50) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette ñ ïîñëåäóþùèì
îáíîâëåíèåì ëîêàëüíîãî maximum (
108.64) - ïðîäîëæåíèå ðàçâèòèÿ
âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ USD/JPY ê êîíå÷íûì ëèíèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííûõ ìàñøòàáîâ - FSL Minuette (
109.40) è FSL Minute (
109.50).
Ïðîáîé
óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 108.00 íà íèæíåé ãðàíèöå ISL38.2 çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette - ðàçâèòèå
íèñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòû "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà" ìîæåò áûòü ïðîäîëæåíî ê
êîíå÷íîé Shiff Line Minuette (
107.80) è ãðàíèöàì çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
107.60 - 107.05 - 106.45) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ USD/JPY ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
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Îáçîð ñîñòàâëåí
áåç ó÷åòà íîâîñòíîãî ôîíà, îòêðûòèÿ òîðãîâûõ ñåññèé îñíîâíûõ ôèíàíñîâûõ öåíòðîâ è íå ÿâëÿåòñÿ ðóêîâîäñòâîì ê äåéñòâèþ (âûñòàâëåíèÿ îðäåðîâ "sell" èëè "buy").
Ôîðìóëà ðàñ÷åòà èíäåêñà äîëëàðà:
USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.
ãäå ñòåïåííûå êîýôôèöèåíòû ñîîòâåòñòâóþò âåñàì âàëþò â êîðçèíå:
Åâðî — 57,6 %;
Èåíà — 13,6 %;
Ôóíò ñòåðëèíãîâ — 11,9 %;
Êàíàäñêèé äîëëàð — 9,1 %;
Øâåäñêàÿ êðîíà — 4,2 %;
Øâåéöàðñêèé ôðàíê — 3,6 %.
Ïåðâûé êîýôôèöèåíò â ôîðìóëå ïðèâîäèò çíà÷åíèå èíäåêñà ê 100 íà äàòó íà÷àëà îòñ÷¸òà – ìàðò 1973 ãîäà, êîãäà îñíîâíûå âàëþòû íà÷àëè ñâîáîäíî êîòèðîâàòüñÿ äðóã îòíîñèòåëüíî äðóãà.
Ìàòåðèàëû äëÿ èçó÷åíèÿ Àíàëèçà ZUP & APL`s.