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The corrective rally we were looking for from the 125.12 low is unfolding nicely. The minimum target has already been fulfilled, but a final pop to 127.30 remains possible before the final push lower into the 124.59 - 125.12 zone. Ideally, this final push lower will complete just below 125.12, but under no circumstance can a break below 124.59 be allowed, as the break below here will force a recount for the decline from 137.50.
At this point, only a break above minor resistance at 128.65 will indicate that wave ii has completed, while a break above resistance at 129.46 will confirm that wave iii higher is developing.
R3: 127.30
R2: 127.06
R1: 126.61
Pivot: 126.39
S1: 125.98
S2: 125.78
S3: 125.46
Trading recommendation:
We are long EUR from 126.25 with our stop placed at 124.50. We wlll take half profit at 127.25 and then wait for an opportunity to re-buy EUR at 125.15.
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