16.10.201808:23 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Trading plan for 16/10/2018

Análisis a largo plazo

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NZD supported a better than expected CPI reading, though not for long. CPI inflation from New Zealand in the third quarter increased to 0.9% q / q from 0.4% a period earlier and against the forecast of 0.7% Weakening of NZD and higher oil prices conquered inflation, but these are temporary factors that the NSA should not react to. NZD / USD jumped to 0.6594 after data, but already managed to give over half of the increase - it is 0.6560.

In China CPI in September amounted to 3.6 percent. y / y with a 3.4% forecast. PPI, as expected, amounted to 2.5 percent.

EUR / USD has not moved much at night and is now at 1.1570. USD / JPY benefited from the rebound of the Japanese stock exchange and increased to 112.05.

Despite the falls on Wall Street, the Asian stock market is looking for a place of support. Japanese Nikkei225 is growing today at 1.0%, but the Chinese Shanghai Composite loses 0.5%.

In the commodity market, tensions between the United States, the world's largest oil consumer and Saudi Arabia, one of the largest producers, have raised oil prices due to supply concerns. WTI grows 0.15% up to 71.9 USD / b.

On Tuesday, the 16th of October, the event calendar is light in important data releases, but the global investors shoul keep an eye on the UK Claimant Count Change data, German ZEW data and Industrail Production data from the US.

AUD/USD analysis for 16/10/2018:

Minutes from the RBA meeting did not offer any surprises. The bank is unanimous that keeping interest rates unchanged is a source of stability and trust. The next move will probably be up, but currently there are no strong arguments for change. The recent drop in AUD will support economic growth.

Let's now take a look at the AUD/USD technical picture at the H4 time frame. The market droped slightly towards the technical support at the level of 0.7115 after a filed attempt to move through the resistnace at the level of 0.7148. The momentum is now negative and pointing to the downside, the same situation is with the stochastic indicator, so in a case of a further slide, the next technical support is seen at the level of 0.7098.

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