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For the pair EUR / USD, the monthly trend is upward. The first upper target, from which the downward movement downward is possible at1.2597, the rolling level of 61.8% on the monthly chart.
For the pair GBP / USD, the monthly trend after touching the resistance line is a downtrend. The first lower target is 1.3480, the pullback level of 14.6% on the monthly chart (red dotted line).
Pair EUR / USD
Trend analysis (Figure 1).
The news for the past week had an upward trend. Next week, the price may continue to move up to the recession level of 61.8% or 1.2597 (blue dotted line). Where the price goes, a more complex analysis will show more accurately.
Fig. 1 (weekly chart).
Indicator analysis on the weekly schedule (Figure 2).
The system of indicators ADX (Figure 2).
On the last run, the fast line (indicator 5 - white) and the slow line (indicator period 8 - blue) moved up. In this case, the trend should be determined by trend type indicators.
Indicator MACD (period 5/8/13).
The linear part of the MACD indicator.
The fast line (signal) is the white line.
The slow line (main line) is the blue line.
The result for the linear part of the indicator MACD is an upward trend (100 points up).
Histogram of the MACD indicator.
Histogram - columns of black color.
The result of the histogram of the MACD indicator is an upward trend (100 points up).
The overall result: The MACD indicator on the weekly chart gives an upward trend.
The middle lines of the EMA.
On the weekly chart, the following midlines are used.
1 middle line of the EMA - the color is white (first shadow).
5 middle line of the EMA - the color is red (the first shadow).
8 middle line of the EMA - the color is blue (trend of the week).
13 middle line of the EMA - the color is yellow (the trend of the week).
21 middle line of the EMA - the color is brown (trend of the week).
At the last run, the 8 middle line of the EMA (blue) is moving up and above the 13 middle line of the EMA (yellow), which also moved up, is the signal of the upper work.
At the last run, the 13 middle line of the EMA (yellow) is moving up and above the 21 middle line of the EMA (black), which moved upward is the signal gain of the upper work.
The bottom line: The EMA middle line system on the weekly chart gives an upward signal.
The probability distribution of the indicators is as follows:
- The average EMA lines are 24% up;
- The MACD indicator (linear part) is 38% up;
- The MACD indicator (histogram) is 38% up.
The total on technical analysis: The price on the weekly chart should have an upward trend.
The calculation of the first shadow of the week (Monday) on a weekly chart.
The middle lines of the EMA 1/5/8 - the upper signal.
The indicator "three lines" (the direction of the indicator lines CCI (5), RSI (5), stochastic with a period of 3/3/4) on the last run is the upper signal.
The calculation of the RSI indicator system for the first tail is the upper signal.
The bottom line: The calculation of a weekly candle for the indicator analysis showed that on Monday, the price may have an upward trend, which should be confirmed by the daily chart.
The calculation of the second shadow of the week (Friday).
The calculation for the MACD linear part gave an upward trend (100 points up).
The calculation of the MACD histogram gave an upward trend (100 points up).
The bottom line: The calculation of the last day of the week on technical analysis showed that on Friday, the price may have an upward trend, which should be confirmed by the daily chart.
Fig. 2 (weekly chart).
Complex analysis:
- Indicator analysis - up;
- Fibonacci levels - up (blue dotted lines);
- Volumes - down;
- Candle analysis - down;
- Trend analysis - up;
- Bollinger lines - down;
- Monthly graph - up.
Conclusion on complex analysis - up.
The total result of the calculation of the candle currency pair EUR / USD on a weekly chart: The price of the week is likely to have an upward trend with the absence of the first lower shadow of a weekly white candle and the absence of a second upper shadow. The first target is the upper fractal (1.2324).
Pair GBP / USD
Trend analysis (Figure 1).
The news for the past week had an upward trend. Next week, most likely, there will be a downward trend (a break from the resistance line). How much the probability of this scenario is likely will be shown by a comprehensive analysis.
Fig. 1 (weekly chart).
Indicator analysis on the weekly schedule (Figure 2).
The system of indicators ADX (Figure 2).
On the last run, the fast line (indicator 5 - white) and the slow line (indicator period 8 - blue) moved up. In this case, the trend should be determined by trend type indicators.
Indicator MACD (period 5/8/13).
The linear part of the MACD indicator.
The fast line (signal) is the white line.
The slow line (main line) is the blue line.
The result for the linear part of the MACD indicator is a downward trend (100 points down).
Histogram of the MACD indicator.
Histogram - columns of black color.
The result of the histogram of the MACD indicator is a downward trend (100 points down).
Overall: The MACD indicator on the weekly chart gives a neutral trend.
The middle lines of the EMA.
On the weekly chart, the following midlines are used.
1 middle line of the EMA - the color is white (first shadow).
5 middle line of the EMA - the color is red (the first shadow).
8 middle line of the EMA - the color is blue (trend of the week).
13 middle line of the EMA - the color is yellow (the trend of the week).
21 middle line of the EMA - the color is brown (trend of the week).
At the last run, the 8 middle line of the EMA (blue) is moving up and above the 13 middle line of the EMA (yellow), which also moved up is the signal of the upper work.
At the last run, the 13 middle line of the EMA (yellow) is moving up and above the 21 middle line of the EMA (black), which moved upward is the signal gain of the upper work.
The bottom line: The EMA middle line system on the weekly chart gives an upward signal.
The probability distribution of the indicators is as follows:
- The average EMA lines are 24% up;
- The MACD indicator (linear part) is 38% down;
- The MACD indicator (histogram) is 38% down.
Overall on technical analysis: The price on the weekly chart should have a downward trend.
The calculation of the first shadow of the week (Monday) on a weekly chart.
The middle lines of the EMA 1/5/8 - the upper signal.
The indicator "three lines" (the direction of the indicator lines CCI (5), RSI (5), stochastic with a period of 3/3/4) on the last run is the upper signal.
The calculation of the system of indicators RSI for the first tail is up.
The bottom line: The weekly candlestick calculation for indicator analysis showed that on Monday, the price may have a downward trend, which should be confirmed by the daily chart (touching the resistance line).
The calculation of the second shadow of the week (Friday).
The calculation for the MACD linear part gave a downward trend (100 points down).
The calculation of the MACD histogram gave a downward trend (100 points down).
The bottom line: The calculation of the last day of the week on technical analysis showed that on Friday, the price may have a downward trend, which should be confirmed by the daily chart.
Fig. 2 (weekly chart).
Complex analysis:
- Indicator analysis - down;
- Fibonacci levels - down;
- Volumes - down;
- Candle analysis - down;
- Trend analysis - down;
- Bollinger lines - up;
- Monthly graph - up.
Conclusion on complex analysis is a downward movement.
The total result of calculating the candle of the GBP / USD currency pair on the weekly chart: The price for the week is likely to have a downward trend with the absence of the first upper shadow of the weekly black candle and the absence of the second lower shadow. With the first goal, the target is 1.3790.
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