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Analysis of wave counting:
Having failed to execute the reversal, at the beginning of yesterday's trading, the pair USD / JPY continued the development of the downward movement and was able to work out a settlement target in the area of 107.40 in the middle of the day. Given the fairly strong divergence of the MACD, it can be assumed that as a result of this decline, the currency pair has still completed the formation of the wave 5, c, b, a, (C) and has good prospects, allowing it to indicate the beginning of the future wave c, a, (C). At the same time, as noted earlier, there is still a probability of a more large-scale decline in quotations and an even more complicated internal wave structure of the entire wave (B).
The objectives for a downward wave option:
107.41 - 127.2% of Fibonacci
105.00 - 106.00
The objectives for the option with an upward wave:
111.01 - 50.0% of Fibonacci
111.89 - 38.2% of Fibonacci
General conclusions and trading recommendations:
The tool continues to build the uptrend section of the trend. The increase in quotations may resume with the targets near the marks of 111.01 and 111.89, which corresponds to 50.0% and 38.2% of Fibonacci, within the framework of the construction of the complicated wave 4, c, b, a, (C). Within the limits of wave 5, c, b, a, (C), the decrease in quotations continues with the targets being about 107.41, which is equivalent to 127.2% of Fibonacci, and lower. The MACD convergence warns about the readiness of the tool to increase. Further decline in quotations may lead to a revision of the current wave pattern.
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