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Overview and forecast for AUD / USD
The rising wave prevailing on the daily scale of the Australian dollar major reached the zone around the level of resistance on a large scale. The current wave has no reversal potential. To increase the wave level of the bullish trend, a bearish sector is needed in the role of correction.
The direction of the short-term trend is set by a still unfinished wave of waves, dated September 8 last year. The wave has the form of a shifting plane. From January 26 in the form of a zigzag, the final part of the wave (C) is formed. The quotes have already reached the minimum allowable level of elongation down, on which the completion of the entire correction wave is possible.
The ascending segment of February 14 has a reversal potential.
Today, there is a high probability of changing the direction of the inter-trend. Turning is expected within the support zone. The phase of price growth can be expected at the end of the day or tomorrow.
The boundaries of resistance zones:
- 0.7860 / 90
The boundaries of support zones:
- 0.7780 / 50
Overview and forecast for USD / JPY
The trend of the main pair of Japanese currency in the short term is moving in unison with the bearish wave that has been forming since December 2016. In the structure of a larger wave model, this area takes the place of correction, which explains the pronounced flat nature of price fluctuations. Since November 6 last year, the price reduction has assumed a more intensive character, forming the final part of the wave (C).
The quotations of the pair have reached the minimum level of elongation down, where it is theoretically possible to complete the entire correction. Before the confirmation in the form of signals of a reversal, the main scenario is the continuation of the downward trend.
Today, there is a high probability of completion of a lasting ascending rollback last week. The resistance zone is the most likely site of the trend change.
The boundaries of resistance zones:
- 108.00 / 108.30
The boundaries of support zones:
- 107.00 / 106.70
Explanations to the figures: For simplified wave analysis, the simplest type of wave is used in the form of a zigzag, combining 3 parts (A; B; C). Of these waves, all kinds of correction are composed and most of the impulses. At each time frame, the last, incomplete wave is analyzed.
The areas marked on the graphs are indicated by the calculation areas, where the probability of a change in the direction of motion is significantly increased. Arrows indicate the wave counting according to the technique used by the author. The solid background of the arrows indicates the structure formed, the dotted one indicates the expected wave motion.
Attention: The wave algorithm does not take into account the duration of the tool movements in time. The forecast is not a trading signal! To conduct a trade transaction, you need to confirm the signals of your trading systems.
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