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To open long positions on EUR / USD pair, you need:
The euro rose in the first half of the day after the release of good reports on activity in the services sector and retail sales in the eurozone. However, it is necessary to break through the resistance of 1.1248 in order to continue the upward trend. Only consolidation at this level will lead to a new upward wave with the update of the highs in the area of 1.1270 and 1.1294, where I recommend to take profits. Since a number of important data on the American economy is expected to come, there is possibility for the euro decline. In such a scenario in the second half of the day, it is best to consider new long positions to rebound from support 1.1218 or from the lower border of the side channel in the 1.1186 area.
To open short positions on EUR / USD pair, you need:
Bears have shown themselves in the area of resistance at 1.1240-1.1245 and while the trade will be conducted below this range, we can expect that the pressure on the euro will continue. Whatever the statistics on the US comes out, the demand for the US dollar will most likely continue, which will lead to an update of the middle of the wide side channel 1.1218, as well as its lower limit 1.1186, where I recommend fixing the profit. On the other hand, if the growth scenario is above 1.1245 in the second half of the day, it is best to consider short positions to rebound from the resistance levels of 1.1269 and 1.1294.
More in the video forecast for April 3
Indicator signals:
Moving averages
Trade is conducted above the 30- and 50-medium moving, which indicates the advantage of buyers of the euro.
Bollinger bands
In the case of a decline, support will be provided by the average Bollinger Bands indicator in the 1.1220 area. However, it is best to buy right to the rebound after the test of the lower limit in the 1.1190 area.
Description of indicators
MA (moving average) 50 days - yellow
MA (moving average) 30 days - green
MACD: fast EMA 12, slow EMA 26, SMA 9
Bollinger Bands 20
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