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According to Wences Casares, one of the leading specialists in the crypto market, investors in digital assets should be allocated with 1% in their investment portfolio for investments in Bitcoin. The specialist is sure that by the time they will be justified, it's not worth counting on momentary profits.
According to the calculations of W. Casares, the chances of success of cryptocurrency number 1 are at least 50%. He does not exclude that in 7-10 years for 1 Bitcoin, it will give about $ 1 million, no matter how fantastic it may sound. Note that this is 200 times the current value of cryptocurrency number 1. For investment portfolio managers in the amount of $ 10 million, the expert recommends investing about $ 100,000 in Bitcoin (up to 1% of the portfolio, however, there is none because the risk of losing this investment also quite huge). If the leading crypto active asset depreciates, then the loss will be no more than $ 100 thousand, or 1% of the cost within 3-5 years, which is not critical. However, in the event of an active growth in the price of Bitcoin in 7–10 years, these $ 100 thousand may bring the investor $ 25 million, which is more than twice the value of the entire initial portfolio at the same time, W. Casares reminds.
The specialist recalls that cryptocurrency number 1 is still an experimental asset, and calls for careful weighing of all the pros and cons when investing in it. Speaking about the advantages of Bitcoin, W. Casares draws attention to the fact that this virtual asset potentially surpasses gold and the US dollar as a global non-political standard unit of value and settlement. Bitcoin is open and not subject to censorship, because it works on a sovereign platform, which means that no one can change transactions made in the system, as well as prevent the system from processing new transactions. This allows us to provide unprecedented economic freedom, just as the Internet has opened up broad opportunities for the transmission of information, the expert emphasizes. "Bitcoin is not an asset. It does not bring profit or dividend and has no intrinsic value. Bitcoin is money, digital gold. Yellow metal, the US dollar and national currencies also have no intrinsic value, but because they have a monetary value for a long time, people perceive them as something very valuable. The main obstacle that bitcoin has to overcome in order to succeed is to achieve wide public recognition of its own value, "W. Casares summarizes.
The expert gives quite favorable forecasts for the future of cryptocurrency number 1. He believes that Bitcoin can become a supranational currency that exists as if "on top" of other monetary units of different countries. If this crypto active succeeds, it can acquire the status of a global monetary standard for value and settlement, the expert is sure.
Currently, the owners of cryptocurrency number 1 are over 60 million people worldwide. About 1 million people are added monthly to them, underlines W. Casares. The remaining 1000 cryptocurrencies account for about 5 million owners, so in the next 5 months, Bitcoin will have more new users than other coins of all time. The turnover of the leading cryptocurrency is more than $ 1 billion per day, which exceeds the turnover of all other digital currencies, the analyst notes. He is sure that Bitcoin's chances of success are great, and its prospects are impressive, but not fully understood.
Analyzing the market for cryptocurrency number 1, as well as the history of its emergence and development, W. Casares draws attention to the price rally of Bitcoin. They are the most important component of the growing popularity of this virtual asset. Thanks to the active dissemination of information about Bitcoin, many have a desire to purchase it. Next, the price growth mechanism starts, it reaches a peak, and then there is a recession. So far, this mechanism has worked well, but one day it can cause a catastrophe, the analyst cautions. Price rally - these are the best moments for Bitcoin, but they also carry significant risks to the network.
In the event of a rapid increase in the price of Bitcoin in the next 7–10 years, cryptocurrency number 1 can pass through 6 price rallies, W. Casares believes. "It is impossible to know in advance when the price will reach the bottom or when the next rally will start, and paying for attempts to catch lower price values or, conversely, maximums may cost you a fortune. If you decide to buy bitcoins, determine the amount you can afford to lose (ideally, less than 1% of your capital), open a position and forget about it for 7 or 10 years at once, "W. Casares recommends. The specialist emphasizes that this particular waiting period is the most difficult for investors. It is not easy to sit like a hunter in ambush, waiting for better times for cryptocurrency number 1, but this is a necessary condition for success.
According to the calculations of the expert, if in the future, Bitcoin will become the global standard of value and settlement, then it probably should cost more than gold and less than the world money supply. Analyzing the Bitcoin market, W. Casares notes that the market capitalization of this digital asset fluctuates around $ 7,000, taking into account the number of people owning BTC. If this constant persists and cryptocurrency number 1 will own 3 billion people, the Bitcoin capitalization will be about $ 21 trillion (~ $ 7000 x 3 billion), or $ 1 million for BTC. This is an impressive amount and at first glance unreal, but the specialist is confident in the prospects and impressive capabilities of the leading digital asset.
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