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4-hour timeframe
Technical data:
The upper linear regression channel: direction – down.
The lower linear regression channel: direction – down.
The moving average (20; smoothed) – down.
CCI: -115.5862
On Friday, May 17, the British pound continues its non-stop fall against the US currency. As we wrote yesterday, for the pound, this type of fall is the most dangerous since it can last for a long period of time. At this time, the pound does not even need any macroeconomic data to continue the fall. The pound is falling by inertia, simply because traders continue to get rid of it. Meanwhile, high-ranking officials of the British Parliament held a meeting with Theresa May, in which the resignation of the Prime Minister was again discussed. Theresa May has promised to agree on a date for the election of the country's new leader in the coming weeks but it seems that she still hopes to hold her "deal" with the EU through Parliament on the fourth attempt. And if it fails again, it will remain at the helm of the country. Frankly speaking, in this situation, there are more questions to the Parliament than to Theresa May. Parliament could dismiss May at least 2 times. There were as many as 8 possible options for the country's exit from the EU but they were all rejected by Parliamentarians. Thus, this situation shows the fragmentation of opinions in the government at such important times, the lack of unity and also the courage to change the Prime Minister, if the current Prime Minister is unable to complete the Brexit procedure.
Nearest support levels:
S1 – 1.2756
S2 – 1.2695
S3 – 1.2634
Nearest resistance levels:
R1 – 1.2817
R2 – 1.2878
R3 – 1.2939
Trading recommendations:
The pair GBP/USD continues its downward movement. Thus, short positions with targets at 1.2756 and 1.2695 are now relevant, before Heiken Ashi's indicator turns up, which will indicate a round of upward correction.
Buy-positions are recommended to be considered only after fixing the pair above the moving average with the first targets at 1.3000 and 1.3062. However, at the moment, the bulls are extremely weak.
In addition to the technical picture should also take into account the fundamental data and the time of their release.
Explanation of illustrations:
The upper linear regression channel – the blue line of the unidirectional movement.
The lower linear regression channel – the purple line of the unidirectional movement.
CCI – the blue line in the indicator regression window.
The moving average (20; smoothed) is the blue line on the price chart.
Murray levels – multi-colored horizontal stripes.
Heiken Ashi is an indicator that colors bars in blue or purple.
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