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As a result of yesterday, the British pound fell by 11 points, today it is trading in the Thursday range during the Asian session, but the signal line of the Marlin oscillator has grown slightly, which means that the risk of a price growth remains - first to the price channel line (1.2252), then, in the event of consolidation above the resistance, to the MACD line, in the region of 1.2403.
On a smaller chart, H4, the resistance is maintained by the MACD line, but in order to develop growth, it needs to go much higher than it, above the upper limit of the consolidation range of 1.2100-1.2209. To move down the price it is enough to overcome the support of the specified range.
Today, important economic data is released across the UK, forecasts are weak; Q2 GDP is expected to grow at zero, industrial production in June may show a decrease of 0.2%, the forecast for construction volume is -0.4%, and the trade balance may worsen from -11.52 billion pounds to -11.80 billion. If expectations do not fail (we still adhere to the main scenario of the downward movement), then we expect the first breakthrough of the pound in the range of 1.2032/55, then to the target level of 1.1986 (a low of January 2017).
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