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Investors could not ignore the risks of the second wave of the pandemic anymore, which calls into question the V-shaped economic recovery. The demand for the US currency has risen sharply, as market players now prefer a safe haven, avoiding investment in risky assets. On the side of the US currency, there is an increase in geopolitical tensions in the world. Washington is stepping up pressure on Beijing by constantly reproaching the start of the coronavirus pandemic in Wuhan. On Wednesday, the White House adviser on national security made an unpleasant rhetoric again against China, accusing China of stealing intellectual property, aggressive expansionism, and non-observance of human rights. According to the Americans, the Chinese use social networks for propaganda and misinformation.
The US did not neglect the EU either. Market players were surprised that America plans to raise duties on European goods worth $ 3.1 billion. The eurozone has recently published encouraging data on the economy, which, apparently, does not like Donald Trump. After the release of the IFO business climate index, which rose in June to 86.2 points from 79.7. Robert Lighthizer said that the States could introduce duties on goods from Germany, France and Britain. This is a bad signal for the euro, which has soared this week. At the moment, he has practically lost all his gain. However, support for the European currency may have a rally in the gold market. Thus, it will be possible again to count on a test mark of $ 1.13.
EUR / USD
The mood of the market worsened and are unlikely to recover before the end of the week. This means that the dollar "bulls" have the opportunity to take the initiative in their own hands. The dollar index is growing for the second day in a row, its growth was 0.2% this afternoon. The most powerful movements are expected in the evening. Traders took a wait-and-see attitude before the release of macroeconomic data in the USA. Today, they evaluate annual GDP data, reports on applications for unemployment benefits and orders for durable goods. Positive statistics may force dollar buyers to push the dollar even higher.
USDX
A strong and long-term strengthening of the dollar is still not worth counting on. The Interbank lending market in New York and London continues to show a downward trend in rates on dollar loans. The Federal reserve has not held REPO auctions in the past four days because there are no requests from commercial banks. Bankers have large reserves of dollar liquidity, which plays against the US currency.
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