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Yesterday's economic reports showed weak figures for construction, manufacturing, and trade balance in the UK. However, the dramatic decline in the US CPI pulled the pound above the target resistance at 1.2826. And as a result, the pound gained 57 pips.
On the daily timeframe, this rise formed a double divergence with the Marlin oscillator. Now, following the drop below 1.2745, we expect the price to fall towards the MACD line around 1.2640. If the price manages to consolidate above 1.2826 and surpass yesterday's high of 1.2859, we expect it to rise towards the target level of 1.2940.
The price seems overbought on the 4-hour chart, but the decline is being supported by the balance indicator line (red moving average), and the Marlin oscillator is still in the positive territory. We anticipate a gradual decline towards the MACD line (1.2764). A drop below this line would suggest that the bulls are getting weaker, as well as readiness to test support at 1.2745.
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