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Yesterday's session displayed strong intraday volatility across the financial markets. As noted previously, the first day of Donald Trump's presidency appears to be more ambiguous for the financial world and potentially more challenging than during his first term. Nevertheless, a sense of relief stemming from easing extreme fears provided a temporary boost.
Quarterly reports from industrial companies also contributed to the situational optimism. Consequently, the S&P 500 gained 0.88%, and the euro increased by 13 pips.
On the daily chart, the price closed above the MACD line, and today's session opened above it as well. For the price to consolidate above this line, the day must close above 1.0416. If this occurs, there will be a chance to overcome the 1.0461 resistance level, though the likelihood of this happening is low.
If today's session closes below 1.0415 or beneath the MACD line, the price is likely to retest 1.0350 and prepare for a move toward 1.0135. The Marlin oscillator, which has turned downward, leans toward a bearish scenario.
On the H4 timeframe, the price and the Marlin oscillator have formed a divergence, suggesting that preparations for a reversal may already be underway.
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