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The Dow Jones Industrial Average is trading around 49,545 and has reached the 21-day SMA at 49,544, showing a positive signal after hitting the lower band of the uptrend channel formed since April 13 and rebounding since then.
This technical rebound could be seen as a positive buy signal, but only if the price consolidates above the 7/8 Murray line and within the uptrend channel. In that case, the target could be the 8/8 Murray line around 50,000, or the index could even reach the May high around 50,231.
The outlook remains bullish as the Eagle indicator is showing a positive signal, and we believe that above the 21 SMA there will be a buy signal. Therefore, we will look for opportunities to open long positions in anticipation of a return toward the highs of 50,231 points.
A decisive break below the uptrend channel and a consolidation below 49,250 could change the Dow Jones scenario; we could expect it to reach the 200 EMA around 49,063 and could even reach the 6/8 Murray level around 48,437 points.
Technically, we expect the instrument to continue rising in the coming hours and days and could even surpass its May high to reach strong resistance levels around 51,279—a level that coincides with the upper band of the uptrend channel.
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