06.05.202516:47 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Update on US stock market on May 6, 2025

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S&P500

Overview on May 6

Snapshot of key US majo stock indices on Monday: * Dow: -0.2%, * NASDAQ: -0.7%, * S&P 500: -0.6% * S&P 500 closed at 5,650, trading within the range of 5,150 to 5,800.

The stock market ended in negative territory. The S&P 500 snapped its nine-session winning streak, closing 0.6% lower than the previous close. At its intraday high, the index approached positive territory but eventually traded down as much as 0.9%.

Selling activity reflected a period of consolidation following the market's strong rally from April lows. In April, the S&P 500 exited correction territory and closed above its 50-day moving average during a robust upward trend.

Losses in Monday's session were relatively mild compared to the scale of recent gains. The market's ongoing resilience to sell-offs offered support for equities, along with a better-than-expected ISM Services Index for April, which helped ease recession concerns.

Treasury Secretary Bessent also acknowledged that, in his view, the US is very close to reaching some trade deals. Losses among a few mega-cap stocks significantly impacted index performance.

The Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK) fell 0.7%, while the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) dropped 0.3%. Consumer discretionary (-1.3%) and technology (-0.9%) sectors, both housing many mega-cap stocks, were among the weakest performers, along with energy (-2.0%).

Oil prices dropped ($57.16 per barrel, -$1.20, -2.1%) after OPEC+ announced an increase in production by 411,000 barrels per day starting in June, which pressured the energy sector. The yield on 10-year US Treasuries settled two basis points higher than on Friday, at 4.34%. In this context, today's $58 billion auction of 3-year notes saw solid demand.

Economic calendar on Monday

* ISM Services for April: 51.6% (consensus: 50.2%; previous: 50.8%)

The key takeaway: growth in the services sector accelerated in April. However, this positive news was tempered by the rise in the prices paid index, which hit its highest level since January 2023, signaling inflationary pressure.

* S&P Global US Services PMI (final, April): 50.8 (previous: 51.4)

Looking Ahead – Tuesday Data Preview:

* 08:30 ET: March trade balance (consensus: -$127.5 billion; previous: -$122.7 billion)

Energy market

Brent crude is now trading at $61.30. Oil rebounded on Tuesday morning, recovering Monday's losses.

Conclusion The market has chosen to pause ahead of the week's main event: the Federal Reserve's policy decision tomorrow. All investors will carefully examine the wording of the Fed's statement to assess whether the tone is more optimistic or pessimistic in evaluating the current economic situation.

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