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16.02.202610:14 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Weekly Forecast Based on Simplified Wave Analysis for EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/JPY, USD/CAD, NZD/USD, and Gold on February 16th

Relevancia 02:00 2026-02-21 UTC--5
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EUR/USD

Analysis:

On the chart of the euro, a downward wave that began in April of last year is still unfolding. It has the form of a descending flat. Since January 27, the beginning of wave segment (C) has been forming, with reversal potential. At present, the price is located near the lower boundary of a strong potential reversal zone.

Forecast:

At the beginning of the week, the euro is likely to maintain a sideways price movement. A pullback toward the resistance zone and short-term pressure on its upper boundary are possible. In the second half of the week, a change in direction and a resumption of price decline toward the calculated support level can be expected.

Exchange Rates 16.02.2026 analysis

Potential Reversal Zones

Resistance:

  • 1.1930/1.1980

Support:

  • 1.1720/1.1680

Recommendations:

Buy: There will be no conditions for entering such trades in the pair during the upcoming week.

Sell: If confirmed reversal signals appear in the resistance zone, such trades may be profitable. The downside potential is limited by support.

USD/JPY

Analysis:

On the chart of the main Japanese yen pair, the direction of price movement since last spring has been determined by an upward wave pattern. After the correction that ended on January 27, quotes are forming a reversal wave zigzag. The calculated support runs along the upper boundary of a strong large-timeframe potential reversal zone.

Forecast:

In the next couple of days, sideways movement and a mild downward bias are expected. Near the calculated support, quotes are likely to drift and form a reversal. By the weekend, the price will most likely resume its upward movement, with potential toward the resistance boundaries.

Exchange Rates 16.02.2026 analysis

Potential Reversal Zones

Resistance:

  • 154.70/155.20

Support:

  • 152.30/151.90

Recommendations:

Sell: Such trades will be high-risk during the upcoming week.

Buy: Can be used in trading if appropriate reversal signals from your trading system appear in the reversal zone.

GBP/JPY

Analysis:

The currently unfinished wave structure of the pound/yen pair is directed upward. It has been developing since April of last year. Over the past three months, a complex correction that remains incomplete has been forming within this wave structure. Quotes are approaching an intermediate support zone on a large timeframe.

Forecast:

Over the coming week, price movement between the nearest opposing zones is expected. After a likely pullback toward the resistance zone in the first few days, a change in direction can be anticipated. A decline toward the support boundaries is more probable in the second half of the week.

Exchange Rates 16.02.2026 analysis

Potential Reversal Zones

Resistance:

  • 210.00/210.50

Support:

  • 206.20/206.30

Recommendations:

Sell: Possible with reduced position size within individual sessions toward the calculated support boundaries.

Buy: Such trades may become relevant after appropriate reversal signals appear near the support zone.

USD/CAD

Analysis:

The bearish trend wave on the Canadian dollar chart had been setting the direction of the short-term trend until recently. Since January 30, an upward movement with strong reversal potential has been forming in the opposite direction. In recent weeks, a correction has been developing within this wave structure. At the time of analysis, quotes are located at a cluster of levels from different timeframes.

Forecast:

During the upcoming week, overall sideways movement is expected to continue. At the beginning of the week, pressure on support is possible, including a brief break below its lower boundary. This may be followed by a reversal and price growth toward the resistance zone. A change in direction is likely toward the end of the current or the following week.

Exchange Rates 16.02.2026 analysis

Potential Reversal Zones

Resistance:

  • 1.3740/1.3790

Support:

  • 1.3580/1.3530

Recommendations:

Sell: Lacks potential and carries a high degree of risk.

Buy: Can be used in trading after confirmed reversal signals appear near the support zone.

NZD/USD

Analysis:

On the New Zealand dollar chart, the trend direction since November of last year has been set by an upward wave. Over the past three weeks, a corrective segment (B) has been forming within its structure. Since February 5, an upward segment with reversal potential has been developing on the chart, which remains unfinished.

Forecast:

At the beginning of the upcoming week, the current downward movement is expected to complete near the calculated support. A transition to sideways movement and the formation of a reversal are expected afterward. A resumption of growth can be anticipated closer to the weekend.

Exchange Rates 16.02.2026 analysis

Potential Reversal Zones

Resistance:

  • 0.6110/0.6160

Support:

  • 0.6000/0.5950

Recommendations:

Sell: Can be used with reduced position size within individual sessions.

Buy: Premature until reversal signals appear near the support zone.

Gold

Analysis:

A bullish trend continues on the gold chart. The structure of the latest unfinished downward wave segment, starting from January 29 of last year, does not yet show completion. At the time of analysis, this movement remains within the correction of the latest trend segment. Gold quotes are drifting between potential reversal zones of different scales.

Forecast:

Over the next few days, a price decline toward the support zone can be expected. After that, a reversal may form. A resumption of price growth is likely in the second half of the week.

Exchange Rates 16.02.2026 analysis

Potential Reversal Zones

Resistance:

  • 5100.0/5300.0

Support:

  • 4980.0/4960.0

Recommendations:

Sell: Such trades are risky and may lead to losses.

Buy: Suitable conditions for such trades will arise after appropriate reversal signals appear near the calculated support zone in your trading system.

Notes: In simplified wave analysis (SWA), all waves consist of three parts (A–B–C). On each timeframe, the last unfinished wave is analyzed. Dashed lines indicate expected movements.

Attention: The wave algorithm does not take into account the duration of price movements over time.

Desarrollado por un Isabel Clark
experto de análisis de InstaForex
© 2007-2026

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