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During Asian trading on Thursday, gold prices extended their gains. The market was supported by a persistently weak dollar, while investors assessed the likelihood of US-Iran ceasefire talks. Against this backdrop, precious metals look noticeably stronger than the broader market, and traders remain glued to any geopolitical headlines.
Gold is trading near a nearly one-month high reached on Wednesday. The rally is being driven by several factors: increased risk appetite and easing concerns about persistent inflation. With reduced demand for safe-haven assets, the dollar has lost support, traditionally positive for gold.
Gold dynamics:
Gold is advancing amid a ninth straight session of dollar weakness. Pressure on the US currency was reinforced by weak producer inflation data released earlier in the week. For gold traders, this matters: as long as the US dollar remains under pressure, there is scope for further support for XAU/USD.
Expectations for gold are also influenced by news from the Middle East. US President Donald Trump has said extended talks with Iran could happen in the coming days and that the end of the war is "close." He also noted separate talks between Israel and Lebanon scheduled for Thursday in Washington.
At the same time, Trump's comments came alongside reports that the US is sending thousands of additional service members to Iran and that a naval blockade of the country came into full effect this week. Nonetheless, the market's immediate reaction suggests the ceasefire appears to be holding.
Key point for traders: markets are awaiting follow-up peace talks, especially given that the ceasefire is set to expire on April 21. Any signs of an extension or a breakdown in the agreement could quickly change demand dynamics for gold and the dollar.
Other precious metals also rose on the broadly positive tone:
Both instruments remain near monthly highs, reinforcing the signal that demand for metals is supported by broader shifts in market sentiment rather than a single factor.
Copper rises on hopes of a China boost
Among industrial metals, copper stood out on Thursday after China's GDP data beat expectations. The market welcomed the stronger-than-expected reading from the world's key copper importer.
Market moves:
China GDP: 5% growth in Q1
China's economy grew 5% in the first quarter, driven mainly by exports: foreign demand for Chinese industrial goods remained strong. That support is expected to continue in coming quarters, which could sustain robust copper demand.
Still, Iran poses risks.
Despite the positive data, risks linger. China's economy could face headwinds from the Iran conflict: higher fuel costs may weigh on already subdued domestic spending, and disruptions to global shipping could hurt export demand.
For copper traders, this means gains may remain volatile: positive macro data supports prices, but geopolitical risks continue to influence trade and logistics expectations.
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