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The test of the price at 1.3614 occurred when the MACD indicator was just beginning to move upwards from the zero mark, confirming a good entry point for buying pounds. As a result, the pair rose towards the target level of 1.3652.
Sterling buyers continue to rely on the hawkish position taken by the Bank of England at the end of last week. However, amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, investors typically seek refuge in safer assets, which limits the pair's upside potential.
Nevertheless, the first half of the day today opens up prospects for buyers of the British currency. The absence of significant macroeconomic reports from the United Kingdom eliminates the threat of sudden negative events that could dampen market sentiment. This creates favorable conditions for those betting on a stronger pound to seize the initiative and attempt to push the pair upward once again. The main target for buyers in morning trading will be to establish a position above the key technical marks and overcome the nearest resistance levels.
Regarding the intraday strategy, I will focus more on implementing Scenarios #1 and #2.
Scenario #1: I plan to buy pounds today upon reaching the entry point around 1.3601 (green line on the chart) with a target increase to 1.3646 (thicker green line on the chart). At around 1.3646, I intend to exit my long positions and open short positions in the opposite direction (expecting a movement of 30-35 pips in the opposite direction from the level). Strong growth in the pound can be expected to continue the trend. Important! Before buying, ensure that the MACD indicator is above the zero mark and just starting to rise from there.
Scenario #2: I also plan to buy pounds today if there are two consecutive tests of 1.3580 while the MACD indicator is in the oversold area. This will limit the pair's downside potential and lead to an upward market reversal. An increase to the opposite levels of 1.3601 and 1.3646 can be expected.
Scenario #1: I plan to sell pounds today after the pair reaches 1.3580 (red line on the chart), which will trigger a rapid decline in the pair. The key target for sellers will be the level of 1.3540, where I intend to exit my shorts and also open immediate longs in the opposite direction (expecting a movement of 20-25 pips in the opposite direction from the level). Pressure on the pound may return if there is negative news from the Middle East. Important! Before selling, ensure that the MACD indicator is below the zero mark and just starting to decline from there.
Scenario #2: I also plan to sell pounds today if there are two consecutive tests of the price at 1.3601 while the MACD indicator is in the overbought area. This will limit the pair's upside potential and lead to a market reversal downward. A decline to the opposite levels of 1.3580 and 1.3540 can be expected.
Important: Beginner traders in the Forex market need to make entry decisions very cautiously. It is best to stay out of the market before important fundamental reports to avoid sharp price fluctuations. If you decide to trade during news releases, always set stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade in large volumes.
And remember, for successful trading, it is essential to have a clear trading plan, as outlined above. Making impulsive trading decisions based on the current market situation is fundamentally a losing strategy for an intraday trader.
¡Los informes analíticos de InstaForex lo mantendrá bien informado de las tendencias del mercado! Al ser un cliente de InstaForex, se le proporciona una gran cantidad de servicios gratuitos para una operación eficiente.
