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The dollar index hovered near 101.5 on Thursday, trading close to its highest level in more than a year as investors continued to price in further Federal Reserve interest rate increases later this year, while awaiting a key inflation reading for clearer guidance.
Last week, the Fed signaled growing support for a tighter policy stance, with Chair Kevin Warsh reiterating his commitment to restoring price stability. These hawkish expectations have largely outweighed the impact of progress in US–Iran peace talks, which has pushed oil prices back to pre-conflict levels and helped ease some inflation concerns.
Market attention is now centered on the upcoming release of the PCE price index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. Investors are also watching a series of other key indicators, including final first-quarter GDP, May personal income, preliminary durable goods orders, and weekly jobless claims for the period ended June 20.
