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Trading plan for August 25, 2017
All the attention to Jackson Hole.
Markets are ready to respond to the main event of the week and perhaps a month. The meeting of the heads of the largest securities in Jackson Hole. The meeting will be held in two days, Thursday and Friday. Speech of the heads of the ECB and the Fed today, at 15.00 London time.
In the center of attention are Yellen's speeches and most importantly, the heads of the ECB Draghi.
According to the policy of the Fed, there is no mystery. The Fed took the path of raising rates, slowly but surely. At the end of the year, liquidity (surplus) will begin to be withdrawn from the markets.
But the ECB's course is unclear. When will the ECB turn the policy toward normalization from the current pumping of the market?
On Wednesday, everyone waited for something important from Draghi to perform in Germany but the head of the ECB did not say anything on the subject.
Suddenly, the representative of Estonia in the ECB made a speech and said that the growth of the euro does not arouse his fears. (Estonia is still not Germany or France).
What do we see in the picture of the euro?
EUR/USD
It still seems to us that a breakthrough is more probable.
We will buy at the break of 1.1830 - 1.1850. We expect a breakthrough to the top of 1.1910 - and further to 1.2000.
An alternative option is to sell for a breakthrough down 1.1660.
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