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Eurozone
In the absence of significant macroeconomic news, the euro continues to be under pressure. Investors are reacting to the indistinct results of the ECB meeting a week ago with the sale of the euro, as the prospects for a return to normal macroeconomic policies remain unclear, and especially the negative is beginning to materialize against the background of the hawkish news from the United States.
On Monday, business activity indices from Markt for the eurozone will be published, as well as an indicator of consumer confidence from Sentix. The forecasts are neutral, so the data release is unlikely to have noticeable impact on the markets. On Tuesday, the data for September on industrial production in Germany and retail sales in the eurozone in September will be released.
The eurozone economy is in a stable state, and there are no reasons for investors to worry. At the same time, the ECB, the abandonment of the initiative in the matters of the monetary policy, provokes the outpour of speculative capital from the eurozone and realizes the European currency. The market does not move. The euro will continue to trade in the range with a downtrend, next week may reduce EURUSD to 1.1550.
United Kingdom
The Bank of England, as expected, raised the interest rate by a quarter-point for the first time since 2008. Concerning further plans, the bank, not preferred to disclose the information, the incoming data. "
Mark Carney said at the press conference that Brechit.
Expectations on rates indicate an improvement in the pound's position if we take into account the dynamics of the spread between the Fed, the EBC and the Bank of England. Compared to August, the growth of rates in the UK is expected to be more dynamic, for the Fed, the forecast is the less, but for the euro, the forecast is revised downwards, that is, the Bank of England assumes that market expectations for aggressive actions.
Such dynamics, if implemented, will lead to a higher demand for the pound, as it will increase the attractiveness of British assets. This look looks at the true goal of Brexit, which is to create a more attractive investment climate for the European capital, which will help the United Kingdom. pound's position as one of the world's reserve currencies.
However, this scenario still needs to be realized. Against the US dollar, the pound is under pressure, the near target is 0.8680, the near target is 1.2850, but has a chance to resume growth against the euro.
The more distant and strong support is 0.8300, which is the EURGBP.
Oil
Brent, for the first time in 28 months overcame the mark of 62 dollars per barrel, and it seems that this is still far from the limit. The growth in prices of OPEC + agreement and the growing demand, primarily from the Asian countries.
Oil can continue to grow. Technically, the daily overbought schedule has not yet been observed, a corrective decline to $ 60 / bpd will be used with high probability for new buying.
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