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Bloomberg analysts have announced the main risks that could slow the growth of the global economy next year. The main factors remained unchanged, trade wars, Brexit, the situation with the budget in Italy.
According to analysts of the agency, the threat of the world economy is the trade confrontation between China and the United States. Experts calculated that if for three months of the truce reached the G20 summit, the parties cannot find agreement on duties on Chinese goods, China's GDP growth rates can slow down to 1.5% in 2019, while global GDP can grow to 5 %.
The situation in Italy is still a global risk, analysts at Bloomberg believe. In summer, the European Commission offered Rome to finalize the draft budget for 2019 in order to reduce the deficit by 0.6% compared with the current year. However, the Italian government in October published a budget plan, which implies a deficit growth of 0.8-0.9%.
The exit of Great Britain from the European Union will also have a negative impact on the world economy. In the case of a "tough" scenario, exit from the EU without an agreement, the decline in UK GDP by 2030 may accelerate to 3%.
In addition, according to Bloomberg experts, high volatility in world oil markets and the actions of OPEC countries will also affect the state of the world economy, as will elections in a number of large countries.
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