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The dollar continues to slowly lose its position, and almost certainly, this is due to expectations regarding tomorrow's Federal Open Market Committee meeting. Indeed, there are serious grounds for believing that the Federal Reserve System is announcing certain measures to mitigate monetary policy, and also confirm that the refinancing rate will not be raised in the current year. The reduction of the rate is out of the question, as the regulator has other tools to soften its policy. The only question is which of them will be involved, and to what extent.
Today, the tendency to weaken the dollar may continue, not only because of the desire to be safe in the event of too drastic steps by the Federal Reserve System, but also due to expected macroeconomic data. In particular, in the UK there are data on the labor market, which can show mixed results. Yes, the unemployment rate and the growth rate of average wages, but excluding bonuses, should remain unchanged. However, the average wage growth rate, but already taking into account bonuses, can slow down from 3.4% to 3.2%, which is not particularly liked by investors, as these data indicate the unwillingness of employees to be particularly zealous and work overtime. But disappointment will be compensated by the number of applications for unemployment benefits, which should be 2.7 thousand versus 14.2 thousand in the previous month. Also, there are data on the construction industry of the eurozone, the growth rate of which is likely to accelerate from 0.7% to 2.1%. So frankly, there are not many reasons for the dollar's growth.
The euro/dollar currency pair continued to form an upward movement, reaching 1.1358 for yesterday's trading day. It is likely to assume that bullish interest will remain in the market, where traders regard the move to 1.1375-1.1390.
The pound/dollar currency pair has temporarily formed the boundaries of 1.3200/1.3300 following the recent rally. It is likely to assume the preservation of the movement within the existing framework, where it is currently worth waiting for a return to 1,3300.
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