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Over the past trading day, the currency pair Pound / Dollar showed a volatility equal to the average daily 115 pacts, but still maintaining interest within the specified framework. From the point of view of technical analysis, we see that the movement within the specified framework of 1.3200 / 1.3300 persists in the market, consistently working out the boundaries. . Looking at the information and news background, we see that Prime Minister Theresa May's blackmail ended in another setback. The British Parliament has already responded with a statement that it will wait for another proposal on Brexit, and, in principle, there will be no miracle on the Hudson tomorrow. Thus, on Thursday, it will be necessary to ask to postpone the exit in Brussels.
Today, in terms of the economic calendar, we have data for Britain regarding the level of wages with and without premiums, where we can expect a decline from 3.4% to 3.2% for both indicators. The unemployment rate, on the other hand, is expected to be the same, which is 4.0%. For the United States, we are only waiting for the volume of industrial orders, where growth is expected from 0.1% to 0.3%, but the key news for the States is already tomorrow.
Further development
Analyzing the current trading schedule, we continue to observe the amplitude movement of 1.3200 / 1.3300, working out the lower limit of the border at the moment. The preservation of the current movement is probably assumed, consistently working out the boundaries, where now traders are aiming at achieving the level of 1.3300. In turn, traders continue to monitor the boundaries for breakdown.
Based on the available data, it is possible to decompose a number of variations. Let's consider them:
- We consider buying positions in the case of a lower limit of 1.3220, with a smaller volume, or we are waiting for a clear fixation higher than 1.3300.
- We consider selling positions in the case of working out the upper limit of 1.3300, with a smaller trading volume, or already in the case of a clear price fixing lower than 1.3200.
Indicator Analysis
Analyzing a different sector of time frames (TF), we see that there has been an upward interest against the background of working out the lower limit of the range in the short term. Meanwhile, intraday and mid-term perspectives have taken the upside stream.
Weekly volatility / Measurement of volatility: Month; Quarter; Year
Measurement of volatility reflects the average daily fluctuation, with the calculation for the Month / Quarter / Year.
(March 19 was based on the time of publication of the article)
The current time volatility is 38 points. If the quote remains within the amplitude, then the volatility of the day will be approximately equal to the average daily rate.
Key levels
Zones of resistance: 1.3300 **; 1.3440; 1.3580 *; 1.3700
Support areas: 1,3200 *; 1.3130 *; 1.3000 ** (1.3000 / 1.3050); 1.2920 *; 1.2770 (1.2720 / 1.2770) **; 1.2620; 1.2500 *; 1.2350 **.
* Periodic level
** Range Level
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