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Markets came under strong pressure on Monday due to the closing of many long positions ahead of the Fed monetary policy meeting. This is to be expected as investors usually hedge before central banks announce their decision on interest rates.
Earlier, markets had a strong opinion that slowing inflation and the still-strong US economy will influence the Fed to raise the key interest rate by 0.25%. They also expected the central bank to take a pause in the rate hikes, while some even believe that is where the cycle will end. Of course, in spite of such widespread conviction, there is still the possibility that the opposite will happen.
Nevertheless, it is likely that the declines that began on Monday will end without exception, and it is even possible that risk appette will surge again. This will put pressure on the dollar, slowing down its local increase. The signal will be the rebound in stock indices, not only in the US but also in Europe.
Forecasts for today:
USD/CAD
The pair bounced up, thanks to the decrease in risk appetite and crude oil prices ahead of the Fed's monetary policy meeting. If market sentiment changes today and traders fail to hold the quote above 1.3445, the pair will fall to 1.3300.
EUR/USD
The pair is trading above 1.0835. If the negative sentiment eases today, the pair may advance to 1.0835-1.0930.
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