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06.02.202310:32 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Markets halt rally due to strong US labor market data

Queste informazioni sono fornite ai clienti al dettaglio e professionisti come parte della comunicazione di marketing. Non contiene e non deve essere interpretata come contenente consigli di investimento o raccomandazioni di investimento o un'offerta o una sollecitazione a impegnarsi in qualsiasi transazione o strategia in strumenti finanziari. Le performance passate non sono una garanzia o una previsione delle performance future. Instant Trading EU Ltd. non rilascia alcuna dichiarazione e non si assume alcuna responsabilità in merito all'accuratezza o completezza delle informazioni fornite, o qualsiasi perdita derivante da qualsiasi investimento basato su analisi, previsioni o altre informazioni fornite da un dipendente della Società o altri. Il disclaimer completo è disponibile qui.

Global markets were shocked once again as Friday's employment data in the US came markedly better than expected. The report said there is an increase of about 517,000 new jobs in January, while the December data was revised to 260,000. This strengthened the fears that the Fed will continue its aggressive rate hike cycle as consumers may resort to spending more, which might cause not only the slowdown of inflation, but also its rise again. If that happens, the Fed will have no choice but to continue to raise rates, perhaps more strongly, pushing it to above 5%.

Unsurprisingly, dollar demand grew because of the news, while equities fell almost unanimously. The fall was recovered afterwards, but it already halted the rally and threatened the bull market.

Investors are now in a very tricky situation because on one hand, the Fed has acknowledged a decrease in inflation after more than 6 months, but on the other hand, the strong labor market data could stimulate inflation.

Most likely, the rally on the stock markets will pause, while dollar will continue to grow at least until the next release of US inflation data. If that shows that there is a halt or even a slight increase in inflation, the rally in stock indices will resume, while dollar will fall. As for the market situation before the release of the data, volatility will be high as uncertainty will prevail. That could also be a catalyst for consolidation in the world markets.

Forecasts for today:

Exchange Rates 06.02.2023 analysis

Exchange Rates 06.02.2023 analysis

EUR/USD

The pair is trading above 1.0775. If this level holds, a rise to 1.0875 is possible.

USD/CAD

A renewed rise in crude oil prices may prevent the pair to rise further. If the quote stays below 1.3425, the pair will continue heading towards 1.3300.

Eseguito da Pati Gani
Esperto analista di InstaForex
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