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Early in the European session, the British pound (GBP/USD) is trading around 1.2670 within a downtrend channel formed since December 15 and showing some exhaustion of bearish strength.
The British pound is located below the 21 SMA and above the 200 EMA. Both points could serve as a range zone to buy or sell. The uptrend could resume, only if GBP/USD trades above 1.2630. Then, we could expect a move towards 1.2695 (8/8 Murray) and the instrument could even reach 1.2726.
The H1 chart shows that the British pound opened with a bearish gap of around 1.2682 and is likely to rise and cover the gap in the coming hours. If a technical rebound continues from the current levels, the British pound could find strong resistance around 1.2695. If it reaches 1.2726, both levels could serve as an opportunity to resume selling.
In case the British pound consolidates above 1.2726, it could resume the uptrend and GBP/USD could reach +1/8 of Murray at 1.2817 and could even reach the psychological level of 1.30.
On the other hand, in case GBP/USD falls below the 200 EMA at 1.2629, the outlook remains negative for the pound and we could continue to sell with targets at 7/8 Murray at 1.2573 and up to the psychological level of 1.25.
The eagle indicator is giving a negative signal, so any bounce that approaches or trades below 1.28 will be seen as an opportunity to sell.
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