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Early in the European session, EUR/USD is trading around 1.0980, above the 21 SMA, and inside a downtrend channel formed since December 21. In the H4 chart, we can see that the euro failed to overcome the psychological barrier of 1.1000, which caused a corrective movement after knowing the US inflation data, which rose more than expected, reaching 3.4%.
In the next few hours, if the euro fails to overcome and consolidate above the psychological level of 1.10, we could expect a technical correction to occur and EUR/USD could reach the 200 EMA located at 1.0920. Below this level and if the bearish force prevails, the price could reach the low of January 5 around 1.0877.
The H4 chart shows that there is an ascending wedge triangle pattern with resistance at 1.0998 that was tested by the Euro on two occasions. If the instrument cannot break, we expect a range movement between 1.0986 (2/8 Murray) to 1.0940. If the euro consolidates below 1.0950 (21 SMA) in the coming days, it could resume its bearish cycle and move within the bearish trend channel formed since December 21. EUR/USD could even reach 1/8 Murray around 1.0864.
The eagle indicator has been giving a negative signal since December 20, but on December 9, it approached oversold levels which favored the euro and EUR/USD could return to levels of 1.10. Currently, the eagle indicator is approaching a line of bearish pressure. If the euro settles below 1.10, there will be good opportunities to continue selling.
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