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On February 18, a new maximum extreme (22,225) was reached, but the bears took control, resulting in a significant decline by the end of the trading week. Bearish players reclaimed most of the gains achieved by the bulls the day before. If they manage to hold their positions and continue the decline, the subsequent test of the nearest support level at the short-term weekly trend (21,351) may end with a breakout of the Tenkan line and further interact with other levels of the weekly cross.
By the end of the trading week, a rebound from the record high (22,141) allowed the market to fall to the support of the daily Fibonacci Kijun (21,604). If bearish sentiment continues to strengthen in the near term, the next tasks will be to eliminate the daily Ichimoku golden cross (21,412 – 21,220), return to the bears' side of the short-term weekly trend (21,352), and break the daily cloud (21,170). However, if bullish players seek a comeback and manage to stop the current decline, they will need to consolidate above the previous week's maximum extreme (22,225) to restore the uptrend on higher timeframes.
On lower timeframes, bearish players currently hold the main advantage. On H4, a target for a break of the H4 Ichimoku cloud (21,354 – 21,257) has been set for them. Additional intraday downside reference points include the supports of the classic Pivot levels, with updated Pivot values to be revealed at the market open. For the balance of power to shift, bulls must reclaim the key levels – the central Pivot level of the day and the long-term weekly trend (22,090).
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