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Gold prices continue to receive support amid the fog of uncertainty surrounding the future course of the tariff wars initiated by Donald Trump.
The price of gold has been climbing almost vertically for four months. The main driver is growing fears that the global economy could collapse under the weight of escalating tensions—primarily the confrontation between Beijing and Washington.
From a technical standpoint, the price of the yellow metal is overbought and could collapse at any moment if news emerges of a trade agreement between the U.S. and China. While there is no clear end in sight to the standoff, given Beijing's firm stance, Trump's maneuvering, and the real risks of economic strain—particularly in the U.S.—it's reasonable to expect negotiations between the two nations to begin eventually.
Technical Setup and Trade Idea:
The price is above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, below the 5-period SMA, but above the 14-period SMA. RSI is turning downward in the overbought zone. The Stochastic indicator has exited the overbought zone and is actively declining, giving a sell signal.
I believe gold prices could drop to 3243.55, which may be a local corrective pullback within the framework of a sustained short-term uptrend. A potential entry point could be considered around the 3309.00 level.
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