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The crypto market's Fear & Greed index currently stands at 73 out of 100, indicating a Greed zone and strong buying interest from market participants. Meanwhile, Ethereum (ETH) hit a new high for 2025 on Monday.
The week kicked off with a notable advance of the US dollar, which became the main beneficiary of recent trade agreements that restored commercial ties between the US and key partners.
Investor focus has now shifted to the broader macroeconomic picture, as the week begins with US consumer confidence data and the JOLTS job openings report — all ahead of key events such as the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision on Wednesday and the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday.
Key highlights
• Trade deals and the dollar impact Agreements with Japan and the EU, along with ongoing talks with China, have eased fears of escalating trade tensions. US President Donald Trump has warned nations that refuse to engage in trade negotiations about possible tariffs. Meanwhile, shortening the deadline for Russia to agree to a ceasefire in Ukraine raises the risk of secondary sanctions for foreign buyers of Russian oil — a factor that could trigger a spike in energy prices and further support the dollar.
• Labor market & Federal Reserve outlook Today's JOLTS job openings report will be closely analyzed by both the market and the Fed, as it reflects labor market supply and demand dynamics, impacting wages and inflation. Openings are expected to decline to 7.55 million in June. A drop below 7 million could strengthen expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut in September, likely pressuring the dollar. However, a result in line with or above expectations could support it. Still, markets currently see little chance of a rate cut at the upcoming July 29–30 Fed meeting.
• Crypto market: greed zone & leading asset growth With the Fear & Greed index at 73, crypto markets are firmly in Greed territory, reflecting heightened demand. Bitcoin once again approached the $120,000 level, rebounding after Friday's dip.
At the same time, BNB (Binance Coin) hit an all-time high of $857, driven by strong spot market demand and growing institutional interest. Ethereum (ETH) also set a new 2025 high on Monday, rising above $3,930, inching closer to the psychologically important $4,000 mark.
Other top-10 cryptocurrencies also saw gains. The total crypto market capitalization rose to $3.853 trillion, up 0.68% from the previous day. Altcoin market cap now stands at $293.79 billion, according to TradingView.
Key events this week
Conclusion
Investors are likely to adopt a wait-and-see approach ahead of the Fed's announcements to gauge potential impacts on the dollar — and by extension, the broader market. As we approach the Fed's rate decision, market tension is expected to rise like a compressed spring. The most significant price action will likely unfold on Thursday, Friday (post-NFP), and early next week.
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