Rilevanza fino a 02:00 2026-02-24 UTC--5
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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the British Pound
The price test at 1.3480 coincided with the MACD indicator just starting to move upward from the zero mark, confirming a good entry point to buy the pound. As a result, the pair rose by more than 30 pips.
The US GDP growth in the fourth quarter at 1.4% was significantly below economists' forecasts of 3.0%, which weakened the dollar's position considerably. This outcome signals a slowdown in the world's largest economy, raising concerns among investors about future prospects. Poor fourth-quarter GDP figures may also indicate structural problems in the US economy that were not accounted for in previous forecasts. Possible reasons include a slowdown in consumer spending, a decline in business activity, and the negative impact of trade wars, which continue to exert pressure on exports and imports.
Today promises to be intriguing for the British pound, as the lack of UK data in the first half of the day creates a unique opportunity to further strengthen the pair. In the absence of the announced economic reports, investors and traders are likely to base their decisions on technical factors and market sentiment. This could lead the GBP/USD pair, void of fundamental constraints, to gain momentum following Friday's data and continue its growth. The potential for accumulating long positions becomes especially attractive in conditions free from negative news that could halt the upward movement.
As for the intraday strategy, I will rely more on implementing scenarios #1 and #2.
Buy Scenarios
- Scenario #1: I plan to buy the pound today upon reaching an entry point around 1.3528 (green line on the chart), targeting a move to 1.3564 (thicker green line on the chart). At the level of 1.3564, I intend to exit the long positions and open shorts in the opposite direction, anticipating a movement of 30-35 pips from the entry point. Growth in the pound today can only be expected after good data. Important! Before buying, ensure the MACD indicator is above the zero mark and just starting to rise from it.
- Scenario #2: I also plan to buy the pound today if the price tests 1.3507 twice in a row while the MACD indicator is in oversold territory. This will limit the pair's downside potential and lead to an upward market reversal. Growth towards opposing levels of 1.3528 and 1.3564 can be anticipated.
Sell Scenarios
- Scenario #1: I plan to sell the pound today after it breaks below 1.3507 (red line on the chart), which will trigger a rapid decline in the pair. The key target for sellers will be the 1.3472 level, where I intend to exit the shorts and immediately buy back in the opposite direction, anticipating a move of 20-25 pips from the level. It is unlikely that pound sellers will show significant activity today. Important! Before selling, ensure the MACD indicator is below the zero mark and just starting to decline from it.
- Scenario #2: I also plan to sell the pound today if there are two consecutive tests of 1.3534 when the MACD indicator is in the overbought area. This will limit the upward potential of the pair and lead to a downward market reversal. A decrease toward opposing levels of 1.3507 and 1.3472 can be expected.
What the Chart Shows:
- Thin Green Line: Entry price for buying the trading instrument.
- Thick Green Line: Estimated price for setting Take Profit or locking in profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
- Thin Red Line: Entry price for selling the trading instrument.
- Thick Red Line: Estimated price for setting Take Profit or locking in profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
- MACD Indicator: When entering the market, focus on the overbought and oversold zones.
Important:
Beginner traders in the Forex market must make entry decisions very cautiously. It is best to stay out of the market before significant fundamental reports are released to avoid sudden price fluctuations. If you decide to trade during news releases, always set stop orders to minimize losses. Without stop orders, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
Remember, to trade successfully, you must have a clear trading plan, as presented above. Spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation are a losing strategy for intraday traders.
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Rimani 
