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Despite a positive close for global equity indices last week, active selling resumed today. The deepest losses were recorded in Asia, which came under twin pressure: a sharp escalation of the Middle East conflict and a renewed wave of inflation expectations. That negative impulse quickly transmitted westward, forcing investors to trim risk exposures.
The tech sector is bearing the brunt. The Nasdaq 100 is showing clear weakness, catalyzed in part by the plunge in shares of South Korean giant SK Hynix. Dislocations in the Asian semiconductor supply chain traditionally transmit to US chipmakers, forcing investors to revise short-term expectations for the microelectronics sector. Follow the link for more details.
A pronounced divergence has emerged across US asset classes. While commodities and fixed income are reacting strongly to external shocks, the broad S&P 500 has exhibited a surprisingly muted response to geopolitical risk. Institutional players are avoiding panic and holding positions in more stable sectors.
That composure is explained by the approach of the quarter's key event — earnings season. Against that backdrop, a hard sorting process is taking place: investors are increasingly separating potential winners from losers in a high-rate environment. The current intra-index capital rotation is creating attractive conditions for active trading. Follow the link for more details.
The Nasdaq 100 remains trapped in a prolonged sideways range, repeatedly failing to clear local resistance levels. The index is under pressure from Middle East uncertainty and an ongoing technical correction in semiconductors. Buyers are cautious, worried that renewed inflation could keep rates at elevated levels for longer.
In these conditions, the week's focal points for near-term investors are incoming inflation prints and the planned testimony of Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. Any shift in the chair's rhetoric could immediately pull the Nasdaq out of consolidation, creating trading opportunities in US indices available on InstaForex. Follow the link for more details.
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