15.07.202507:31 Forex Analysis & Reviews: If the Fiber strengthening is held at its Resistance 1 level, EUR/USD has the potential to weaken again on Tuesday, July 15, 2025.

EUR/USD - Tuesday, July 15, 2025.

Although the RSI(14) is at 55.39 (Neutral-Bullish), the EMA(50) is below the EMA(200), indicating that despite the upward retracement, the potential for a continued downward bias remains open.

Key Levels

1. Resistance 2: 1.1715.

2. Resistance 1: 1.1690.

3. Pivot: 1.1672.

4. Support 1: 1.1647.

5. Support 2: 1.1629.

Tactical Scenario

Pressure Risk Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 1.1647, EUR/USD will continue its decline to 1.1629.

Momentum Extension Bias: If 1.1629 is successfully broken and closes below it, 1.1604 will be the next EUR/USD weakening target.

Invalidation Level / Bias Revision

If EUR/USD strengthens to break through and close above 1.1715, all previously outlined weakening scenarios will be invalidated and invalidated.

Technical Summary

The 50-day moving average (EMA) is at 1.1675, the 200-day moving average (EMA) is at 1.1695, and the RSI (14) is at 55.39.

Economic News Release Agenda:

The impact of US trade tariffs on the Eurozone and rumors of a dovish ECB policy are likely to weaken Fiber today.

Today, there are economic data releases from the Eurozone and the United States:

German ZEW Economic Sentiment - 4:00 PM WIB.

Industrial Production m/m - 4:00 PM WIB.

ZEW Economic Sentiment - 4:00 PM WIB.

Core CPI m/m - 7:30 PM WIB.

CPI m/m - 7:30 PM WIB.

Empire State Manufacturing Index - 7:30 PM WIB.