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Yesterday, the market left from side to side, but in the end, it was more like a marking on the spot. The day began with a further weakening of the dollar, which was due both to the inertia of the previous days and to British statistics, which was unexpectedly quite good. Although the unemployment rate remained unchanged, the number of applications for unemployment benefits decreased from 10.2 thousand to 8.7 thousand. What is more important is the acceleration of the growth rate of the average wage without taking premiums from 2.7% to 2.9%, and taking into account the premiums from 2.4% to 2.6%. So investors had a reason for joy, after all, after such data, you can safely expect growth in consumer activity, and with it, more profit from the investment. But towards evening, the US statistics returned everything to where they started. The number of open vacancies increased from 6 822 thousand to 6 939 thousand, which significantly exceeded the forecasts. And commodity stocks in warehouses of wholesale trade increased by 0.6%, and not by 0.7%, as predicted earlier. Although stocks continue to grow, which is not so good. But the reaction of market participants suggests that preparations are being made for the upcoming ECB and BoE meetings, and many have decided to take a wait-and-see attitude.
Today, there are data on industrial production in Europe, the growth rate of which should slow from 2.5% to 1.0%. Also in the US are data on producer prices, whose growth rates may fall from 3.3% to 3.2%. So, both in Europe and the US, not the best statistics are expected, which will level each other. Moreover, tomorrow meetings of the Bank of England and the ECB on monetary policy will be held, and in the US there are inflation data. So before such a busy day, few people will want to take risks, and the events on the market will unfold very sluggishly and boringly.
The single European currency will remain in the region of 1.1575, getting ready for growth to 1.1650.
The pound will also remain stable at 1.3000, and given that investors expect positive results from the Bank of England meeting, they are clearly poised for growth to 1.3100.
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