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The pair continues to trade in a descending medium-term impulse. Friday's upward movement did not disrupt its structure, which indicates a high probability of a further fall.
At the beginning of the current week, the pair is trading within the framework of the correctional upward movement, since the growth of the pair did not exceed the NKZ 1/2 framework, the upper limit of which is at the level of 1.3143. As long as the pair continues to trade below this mark, the test of the last week's low seems the most likely outcome. The most favorable prices for selling the tools are located at the level of 1.3143.
The fall may continue from the current levels, so you need to be ready to break the patterns for selling. The main condition for making sales is the risk-to-profit ratio of 1 to 3 when calculating the profit at the low of last week.
For violation of the downward movement, it will require growth and closing of today's US session above the level of 1.3143. If this happens, subsequent growth will be most likely, and the test of the previous week's high will be the first goal of the upward movement. This model has a probability of realization of 30%, therefore it should be used as an auxiliary in today's trade.
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