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Theresa May has found an elegant way to avoid a shameful resignation, as well as another democratic way of appointing the prime minister, that is, without a general election, as she herself was appointed. Accidentally nicknamed the "Iron lady - 2", she came to the rostrum of the House of Representatives and solemnly declared that she would not claim the post of prime minister at the next election, and the moved parliamentarians decided to postpone the vote on the no-confidence vote to the government. Although she could not take part in them, as her own party is going to stand on the sidelines. Nevertheless, this somewhat calmed investors and allowed the pound with the single European currency to strengthen, although the euro reacted more to macroeconomic data, which showed an acceleration in industrial growth in Europe from 0.8% to 1.2%. Also, inflation in the US fell from 2.5% to 2.2%, which really makes you think that the Federal Reserve may not raise the refinancing rate. Or at least revise the pace of the hike for next year.
Today's developments depend entirely on the outcome of the meeting of the Board of the European Central Bank. Even in the summer, all the ECB representatives almost in unison swore that the quantitative easing program would be curtailed after the December meeting. But the trouble is that if in the summer all this was furnished with pomp and fireworks, now all the same people practically don't talk about it. More and more often, heads from the ECB are telling horror stories about the risks of a slowdown in the economy and other risks that Donald Trump and his protectionism alone are responsible for. As if Europe itself is not engaged in protectionism. Also, although Italy has agreed to reduce the budget deficit for next year,the problem with the debts of the euro area countries, has not gone away. Especially if we talk about the ability to service these debts without money rain from Mario Draghi. So it is extremely likely that the ECB will once again make a sad face and will be disappointed to admit that this time it did not work, and will have to briefly extend the work of the printing press. And this is indicated by the behavior of investors. After all, Europe is now a supplier of liquidity to the financial markets, and if the ECB stops the round-the-clock work of the conveyor for the production of money, then European banks should have already started to close their positions around the world and return the money home. In this case, we would see a simultaneous decline in stock indices and the growth of the single European currency. But the picture is somewhat different.
The pound/dollar currency pair, reaching the level of 1.2500, slowed down and general background information unfolded. Probably assume a fluctuation within the periodic level of 1.2620, smoothly adjusting below it.
The euro/dollar currency pair, having reached the level of 1.1300, went into the correction phase, winning back almost all the decline for December 11. Likely to assume a temporary turbulence within 1,1360/1,1390 with a consequent pullback.
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