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17.01.201904:13 Forex Analysis & Reviews: GBP/USD. January 16. Results of the day. Cancel Brexit, Brexit transfer, new Brexit negotiations?

Dlouhodobá prognóza
Tyto informace jsou v rámci marketingové komunikace poskytovány retailovým i profesionálním klientům. Neobsahují investiční rady a doporučení, nabídky k nebo žádosti o účast na jakékoli transakci nebo strategii spojené s finančními nástroji a neměly by tak být chápány. Předchozí výkon není zárukou ani predikcí budoucího výkonu. Instant Trading EU Ltd. neručí a nezodpovídá za přesnost nebo úplnost poskytnutých informací, ani za ztrátu vyplývající z jakékoliv investice na základě analýzy, předpovědi nebo jiných informací poskytnutých zaměstnancem společnosti nebo jiným způsobem. Úplné znění Odmítnutí odpovědnosti je k dispozici zde.

4-hour timeframe

Exchange Rates 17.01.2019 analysis

The amplitude of the last 5 days (high-low): 94p - 73p - 156p - 112p - 246p.

Average amplitude for the last 5 days: 136p (106p).

The British pound sterling on Wednesday, January 16th, is not moving. Traders, with such a feeling, do not know what to do next. On the one hand, yesterday, a fateful decision was made for Britain. On the other hand, the situation with Brexit did not become clearer. It only became clear that the UK is not exactly leaving the EU according to the Chequers plan. However, whether it will leave the European Union at all and under what conditions it is now is unknown. Today on the agenda in the British Parliament is the question of distrust of Theresa May, initiated by the leader of the main opposition party (Labour), Jeremy Corbyn. If the majority of deputies vote in favor, Theresa May will be dismissed. We believe that this is exactly what will happen. But again, it is not known how traders will react to this event. From our point of view, the resignation of Theresa May will give a chance for new negotiations with the EU, perhaps more productive and beneficial for the United Kingdom, as well as a chance for the country not to leave the EU at all. Thus, Theresa May's resignation could provoke ... the growth of the British currency. In any case, it is best to wait for the evening and find out how the debate in Parliament will end. Inflation, published today in the UK, did not cause any reaction from the market, as it corresponded to the predicted value - 2.1% y/y in December. In his speech today, the head of the Bank of England, Mark Carney, noted that the loss of Theresa May and the strengthening of the British pound means that markets believe in reducing the chances of a disorderly exit of the country from the EU.

Trading recommendations:

The GBP/USD currency pair remains in an upward trend on the eve of a new vote in the British Parliament. Once again, we do not recommend opening any positions in the current situation, as it is associated with increased risks. The pair can again be extremely volatile in the next few hours.

The same applies to sell orders. Any positions you can open, aware of the increased risks and always placing protective Stop Loss orders.

In addition to the technical picture, fundamental data and the timing of their release should also be taken into account.

Explanation of illustration:

Ichimoku Indicator:

Tenkan-sen-red line.

Kijun-sen – blue line.

Senkou span a – light brown dotted line.

Senkou span B – light purple dotted line.

Chikou span – green line.

Bollinger Bands Indicator:

3 yellow lines.

MACD:

Red line and histogram with white bars in the indicator window.

Paolo Greco
analytik InstaForexu
© 2007–2024

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