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Last trading week, Bitcoin formed the final bullish impulse as part of an upward trend. Then the asset managed to update the local high at $31k. Subsequently, the price of BTC began to decline and formed three bearish candles in a row.
As part of the corrective movement, the cryptocurrency managed to update the local low at $27.1k. Subsequently, we saw an attempt by the bulls to restore the status quo and recover above the important level of $27.5k. However, buyers failed to form a "bullish engulfing" pattern, which increases the likelihood of further correction.
Obviously, based on last trading week's results, buyers failed to reverse the local trend. Attempts to buy back even small bearish volumes were unsuccessful, but at the same time allowed BTC to move to consolidation movement near the $27.1k level.
There is a high probability of a further decline in price in the new trading week after the daily trading volumes recover. Over the weekend, the indicator dropped to $13 billion, a local low, and does not allow for serious price movements.
At this stage, Bitcoin is on the edge of the abyss, as it is consolidating near the main accumulation zone. The first significant milestone at $28.5k was passed quite easily, indicating a high bearish potential of the current correction.
We consider the current correction as a recovery event within the upward trend of the cryptocurrency, which originates near the $25k level. Accordingly, under any circumstances, the $25k support zone is a key and vital level for the BTC upward trend.
There is also a local support level within the $26k–$26.4k area. The 0.236 Fibonacci line passes there, and therefore buyers' interest is concentrated. However, as of writing, the potential of the current correction is not yet evident, so the $26k level should be considered an intermediate target, and $25k as the main one.
Bitcoin came close to the final accumulation zone, which made it possible to reach $31k. This zone consisted of two milestones, the first of which was the $28.5k level. Soon we will face the test of $26k, which is the lower boundary of the accumulation zone.
As of 08:00 UTC, BTC technical metrics show a scattered picture of what is happening. On RSI we see equality and a slight buying activation, then stochastic continues a straight peak and forms another bearish crossover.
This may be a prerequisite for a future retest of $26k. The MACD indicator has also finally cooled down and reached the zero mark. In the near future, the metric will move into the red zone, indicating a further decline in the price of the cryptocurrency.
After reaching a peak within the upward trend at $31k, Bitcoin moved to the correction stage. The price decline occurs within the framework of an upward structure and will continue until the price consolidates below $25k. Given this, the current correction is of a recovery nature and will end within the $25k–$26k range.
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