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At present, USD/CHF shows no clear intraday direction and fluctuates within a narrow range just above the 0.8155 level, reflecting market uncertainty during the European session.
The Swiss franc is supported by a hawkish outlook from the Swiss National Bank (SNB), which stated its intention not to cut rates further. This disappointed investors who had anticipated a possible return to negative rates this year. Combined with rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, such factors enhance the Swiss franc's appeal as a safe-haven asset, creating headwinds for USD/CHF.
On the other hand, the US dollar remains resilient, maintaining a weekly upward trend thanks to hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve delivered earlier this week. Specifically, the Fed maintained its forecast of two potential rate cuts in 2025 while reducing expectations for cuts in 2026 and 2027. These statements support a generally positive sentiment toward the dollar, thereby providing some support to the USD/CHF pair.
Today, for better trading opportunities, attention turns to the release of the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index. These figures could significantly impact US dollar dynamics and increase market volatility. In addition, the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran adds further risk and uncertainty, increasing demand for safe-haven assets like the Swiss franc. This too creates short-term trading opportunities for USD/CHF.
From a technical perspective, the 0.8200 level remains a strong resistance barrier. If this level is breached, prices may aim for the supply zone around 0.8250. However, with oscillators still in negative territory, spot prices may struggle to rise above 0.8200.
On the other hand, immediate support is seen at 0.8155, followed by the psychological level of 0.8100.
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