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Fundamental Overview:
USD/CHF is expected to consolidate in higher range after hitting one-year high 0.9433 on Thursday. USD/CHF is undermined by the weaker dollar sentiment, franc demand on buoyant CHF/JPY cross and franc demand on soft EUR/CHF cross after Swiss National Bank on Thursday kept its 3-month target LIBOR rate unchanged at 0.0%-0.25% and maintained its currency limit of 1.2 franc per euro as widely anticipated. USD/CHF is also weighed by the profit-taking on long-USD positions as market participants trim risk exposure before weekend. But CHF sentiment are dented by the drop in Switzerland trade surplus to CHF1.39 billion in August from CHF3.9 billion in July.
Technical Comments:
Daily chart is tilting negative as bearish dark-cloud-cover candlestick pattern was completed on Thursday, stochastics is falling from overbought zone, MACD is staging bearish crossover against its exponential moving average.
Trading recommendations:
The pair is trading above its pivot point. It is likely to trade in a higher range as far as it remains above its pivot point. As long as the price is keeping above its pivot point, a long position is recommended with the first target at 0.9435 and the second target at 0.9460. In an alternative scenario, if the price moves below its pivot points, short positions are recommended with the first target at 0.9320. A break of this target would push the pair further downwards and one may expect the second target at 0.9295. The pivot point is at 0.9350.
Resistance levels:
0.9435
0.9460
0.9480
Support levels:
0.9320
0.9295
0.9270
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