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The euro is trading below 4/8 Murray around 1.1474, currently trading at 1.1452 with a slightly bearish bias. After having tried to break this resistance zone of 1.1474 for more than five times, according to the 4-hour chart, the euro gets exhausted and without strength.
On January 12, EUR/USD managed to escape from the trading range where the pair had consolidated since December 20. EUR also managed to assert itself above the 200 EMA located at 1.1335.
The outlook remains bullish for the euro as long as it remains above the 2/8 Murray (1.1352) and above the 200 EMA (1.1348). In the coming days, any correction will be seen as an opportunity to buy with targets towards the key level of 1.1500.
If the euro manages to break the 21 SMA located at 1.1414, an acceleration to the downside could occur with a possible target at 1.1352 (2/8). Below this support is the 200 EMA located at 1.1348 which could offer a strong technical bounce to the Euro. So, EUR/USD could resume its uptrend.
The dollar index (USDX) fell towards the support of 94.58 around 2/8 of Murray. From this level, it is bouncing and there is a possibility of the US dollar's recovery which could weaken the euro and we could see a fall in the next few days towards the SMA of 21 at 1.1414.
Since December 13, the eagle indicator has been giving a signal that the euro is extremely overbought. Therefore, the euro failed to break the top of 1.1474. Now the currency pair is under the bearish pressure. It is likely that there could be a downward correction move in the coming days.
Our trading plan for the next few hours is to sell below 1.1474 or at the current price levels which is now trading at 1.1452. Our first target will be 1.1414 (21 SMA) and if this level is broken at 1.1348 (200 EMA).
Support and Resistance Levels for January 14 - 17, 2022
Resistance (3) 1.1502
Resistance (2) 1.1478
Resistance (1) 1.1456
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Support (1) 1.1432
Support (2) 1.1410
Support (3) 1.1386
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Scenario
Timeframe H4
Recommendation: sell below
Entry Point 1.1474 or currently at 1.1452
Take Profit 1.1414 (21 SMA), 1.1352 (2/8)
Stop Loss 1.1512
Murray Levels 1.1474 (4/8) 1.1413 (3/8) 1.1352 (2/8)
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